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A WHEEL OF TIME COMMUNITY

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Posted

If no new developments, I think for today I am narrowed down to voting for: 

 

Heavy

IronEyes

Ed

 

I might could skibidiyolo dice but I’m not all the way there yet. 

Posted
  On 4/21/2025 at 4:22 PM, keyholder21 said:

How does the lie detector thing last game apply to this game?

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That was really a specific response that I wanted to make to show that while Turin may seem to not always play the way everyone seems comfortable with, that doesn't mean he doesn't get results. 

  • RP - PLAYER
Posted
  On 4/21/2025 at 4:35 PM, DPR said:

I might could skibidiyolo dice but I’m not all the way there yet. 

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Hmm. This seems suspiciously half-hearted. 

 

I'm feeling DPR-Lenlo-Dice wolf team from the last few posts, with the caveat that it would seem strange to hand out that info so easily in a few short posts. So probably not 100% accurate. 

Posted
  On 4/21/2025 at 4:41 PM, HeavyHalfMoonBlade said:

Hmm. This seems suspiciously half-hearted. 

 

I'm feeling DPR-Lenlo-Dice wolf team from the last few posts, with the caveat that it would seem strange to hand out that info so easily in a few short posts. So probably not 100% accurate. 

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lol, what was the acronym for calling someone wolf who called you out? And how is Dice even part of this?

You asked me about my reasoning so I think it only fair to ask you yours, how do you get this? I know you're very reactionary, you've never taken being poked/sussed well, but at some point your gonna need to figure that out.

Posted

Here's the TL;DR

Heavy is scum. In an effort to be nice to what I thought was someone playing his first game, I made Ithi and Turin think I was defending him. Key took that opening and used it to push suspicion onto me while simultaneously defending Heavy in a more subtle way. They're teammates trying to make sure I go down next after Heavy flips scum. 

Posted

 The timeline: First, people make jokes and vote each other, fun stuff. Heavy seems confused by our lack of reasoning to vote, joke votes are explained. This is the first emotionally charged post he makes. DPR, Ithi, and Ed immediately sus him for it, and right after that I say it doesn't seem alignment indicative. These posts are all back to back btw. 

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Then after that, Heavy has the first thing that I'd call overreaction. 

  On 4/19/2025 at 9:57 PM, HeavyHalfMoonBlade said:

Dude! Really? My words are muddled? Why did you have rand wolf on your first game, you poor thing. Got my eye on you, Ithi, lol.

 

That is weak sauce. Everything I say is confusing, it is hardly AI. Haven't we played 20 questions together? Explain your position. Justify it. 

 

Doesn't feel right? Wolfy AF. Be concrete.

 

I've never been a wolf, never been eliminated, looking forward to both. Wanna make a case, or is that all you have got?

 

I must point out that again, all of you seem pretty wolfy. Have any of you actually ever randed town?

 

Still, sure, wolves out yourself by jumping on my bandwagon, I'm a comfy ride, I can assure you. Even have complimentary lube, I think of everything.

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  On 4/19/2025 at 10:07 PM, HeavyHalfMoonBlade said:

I must say it is actually deeply upsetting how suspicious everyone finds me in every game I play. But what can I do? It is what it is. But the mod in those games jumping on me too? That seems cruel, frankly.

 

But then again, maybe I really am that suspicious. Wait til I actually rand wolf and then you are all going to be dumbfounded. Until then I'll just have to put up with this disrespect, I guess.

 

A lot words saying nothing - but also not actually casting shade on anyone. Not really. A bit of fun. Not like a vote in red and bold.

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Ok, he's starting to ping. Sure. I have to point out though that this is AFTER my "defense" of Heavy that Key is on about (see the end of this post). And I say as much: 

  On 4/19/2025 at 11:09 PM, Ironeyes said:

I'm still trying to remember how everyone plays. It's strangely easier to evaluate the people I haven't played with before because I can approach them de novo. But so far the emotional reactions quoted below have tilted my evaluation of Heavy toward one of (a) guilty or (b) new at this and very afraid of being lynched. I don't like the part where he goes after the mods. That makes Ed look better by comparison because he's poking and prodding just as Turin has been. 

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But I'm still trying to be nice because I'm under the impression the guy is new to Mafia. Here's that exchange: 

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Dice comes in, drops what looks like a joke vote on Heavy, then post-facto converts it into a real vote. 

 

Ithi then starts the Marsh train. Her reasoning is that I'm defending heavy, which makes me either defending a teammate or white knighting a confused townie. Uses my unvote on Dice as a flawed part of the reasoning. Weird reason to vote me rather than Heavy, who she sussed in the same post, but Ithi is still on level footing reasons wise. It's not motivated reasoning. But what this does is give an opening. 

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Nyn shows up, catches up, displays what even I remember is town!Nyn energy. 

Heavy calms down. 

  On 4/20/2025 at 1:09 PM, HeavyHalfMoonBlade said:

So not a lot going on.

 

Not sure I like Marsh's reasoning about me having to be mafia or a power role or whatever, it seems to be reaching too far. But will need to see where he goes with that reasoning. What other data he collects.

 

Don't really like Dice's eliminating for the lols - but again, lols is hardly AI and he has not really taken it anywhere - hasn't manufactured an argument and then doubled down or anything like that.

 

Didn't like Ithi's reasoning for her vote on me - but it was early doors and someone has to make the first real vote. But Ithi is also casting suspicion on nearly everyone that says something - which I would be a lot more suspicious of if I wasn't doing the same thing. So there is that.

 

Ed is poking people but not really contributing, and that pretty much goes for everyone else in terms of solving but at this point I don't think I can argue that it is AI, there has not really been enough activity to hunt for wolves in. Easter weekend and all that. Things should heat up towards DL, though I have seen that unless at least one wolf is actually under suspicion that can hurt rather than help.

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At this point, Turin shows up, susses me and Dice for Dice knowing I'm almost a lawyer (?) and tries to give Heavy an out for language barrier. Subtle defense. And of course defending Heavy is sus, is it not? 

  Reveal hidden contents

 

Here's Key's first significant contribution to the game. It begins by laying groundwork to sus me. Essentially, because in my first post about Heavy I didn't think his actions were alignment indicative, I'm defending him. But in the same post Key calls him new town. This is subtle defense by way of deflecting onto the available scapegoat, Ironeyes, who was freshly called out by Ithi, Nyn, and Turin.

  On 4/20/2025 at 5:52 PM, keyholder21 said:

Here between family events!

 

 

Lol, of course you are.

 

[Ironeyes says joke votes become sus if left on "accidentally"]

Bold - What do you mean?

 

[Ironeyes indicates that Heavy is feeling out unfamiliar group dynamics, which is NAI]

Bold, I didn't get that at all from his posts.  Reads like defense - especially since you didn't address Eddie??

 

I do agree that it doesn't seem to be AI though.  To me Heavy reads like new town, if only because I don't see new scum doubling down on the very thing that someone has called them out for.  I know when I was new scum I preferred to not get entangled with anyone if I could avoid it.

 

 

This looks good - like a townie hunting, imo.  Or at least not on the same team as IE lol.

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Then the next post: Yet more "you didn't include other people, hence sus." More subtle defense of Heavy as well: He might be town who got emotional because he doesn't want to die. 

  On 4/20/2025 at 6:12 PM, keyholder21 said:

 

This inclusion of Turin seems weird, especially since Turin hasn't posted in awhile.

 

 

First bold - why is being suspicious of you AI?  We don't know what you are?? It would be weirder, imo, if someone didn't act suspicious of another player.  Especially one, and I do not mean to be mean here, that is speaking in an over the top manner.

 

Italics - It's better for a wolf because then they can look like they are active without having to actually do anything. How is a post saying nothing good for town?? 

 

 

First bold - Okay, sure, ask him I guess, but why did you also not ask other people who have played in the other games with him? Or ask Ithi, who observed him as mod in those games??

 

Second bold - I get that, but also, people get invested and just don't want to die lol.  This is something I think I'm better at now that I'm older but I definitely got attached way back when.

 

 

LOL on your first sentence.

 

Bold - Can you see how if you are town this isn't helpful at all???

 

 

Zombie jesus; bleazy 😆.

 

So you thinking he's a wolf or overwhelmed town?  Because you are implying both???

 

 

Hey, it happened last game lolololol.

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Then look at this, she says Heavy is making pro town moves! And she's out for IRL stuff. 

  On 4/20/2025 at 6:51 PM, keyholder21 said:

[Heavy's short list of reads]

Submitting a feels post without having to be asked for it, pro town move, although it is pretty mild on feels/reads.

 

 

Bold - I laughed.

 

Reasoning for your reads??

 

Also, Turin, your lack of involvement in the game so far is sketching me out.

 

 

Why only dice? Seems like an odd necessity.  It was in the sign up thread??

 

 

 

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  On 4/20/2025 at 6:54 PM, keyholder21 said:

Okay, gotta get to another family thing.  I'll try to come back tonight to finish catching up.

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Key shows up, defends Heavy in every post she makes before having to leave again, and then makes a big deal out of me "defending" him based on a post I made before he did most of the suspicious stuff

Hello Mrs. Key-ttle, I'm Mr. Pot. 

 

This is Page 10, but it's the biggest part of my point so I'm gonna be less detailed now. 

Posted
  On 4/21/2025 at 4:48 PM, Ironeyes said:

Ithi then starts the Marsh train. Her reasoning is that I'm defending heavy, which makes me either defending a teammate or white knighting a confused townie. Uses my unvote on Dice as a flawed part of the reasoning. Weird reason to vote me rather than Heavy

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Even your own post confirms the odds but you say it is weird.

 

Mafia Marsh white knighting Town Heavy. Marsh = Mafia. Heavy = Town

 

Mafia Marsh defending mafia Heavy. Marsh = Mafia. Heavy = mafia

 

You got 2 points to his 1 and so I changed my vote.

Posted
  On 4/21/2025 at 4:48 PM, Ironeyes said:

Here's the TL;DR

Heavy is scum. In an effort to be nice to what I thought was someone playing his first game, I made Ithi and Turin think I was defending him. Key took that opening and used it to push suspicion onto me while simultaneously defending Heavy in a more subtle way. They're teammates trying to make sure I go down next after Heavy flips scum. 

Expand  

God I'm going to have to read all of this during lunch arent I... Crap.

Posted

Time for a crash course in theoretical wagonimcs. Can we get Mynd back as a guest lecturer? Cause Imo if we can untangle this Marsh/Heavy/Key ball we'll be in a really good spot going into D2.

Posted
  On 4/21/2025 at 4:57 PM, Ithillian Turambar said:

Even your own post confirms the odds but you say it is weird.

 

Mafia Marsh white knighting Town Heavy. Marsh = Mafia. Heavy = Town

 

Mafia Marsh defending mafia Heavy. Marsh = Mafia. Heavy = mafia

 

You got 2 points to his 1 and so I changed my vote.

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And I'm saying that's fine, but it happened to give Key an excuse to pile on me. 

  On 4/21/2025 at 4:58 PM, Lenlo said:

God I'm going to have to read all of this during lunch arent I... Crap.

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[Sazed voice] I am... sorry. [/Sazed voice]

  On 4/21/2025 at 4:59 PM, Turin Turambar said:

So Ironeyes,  who are you voting presently?

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Vote Key. Equally willing to vote Heavy and likely to end up switching there since my crackpot theory won't take off until either Heavy or I is dead, but I'd like to put my vote where my mouth is at least once. 

Posted

Nyn: Town 

Ithi: Town but less so

Key, Heavy: Scum 

Turin, DPR, Ed: Possible lurking scum

Dice, Verb: No read yet 

Rand, Tigraine: 

image.gif.ae14076b6c45b37f7d20df41dd9dc9fb.gif

 

Posted

Can we just all vote Darthe until he brings a VC? This is frustrating. 

 

I have to say I really don't follow you Ironeyes.  I'll try to read it again but I'm sure I will have questions.

Posted
  On 4/21/2025 at 5:04 PM, Ironeyes said:

Nyn: Town 

Ithi: Town but less so

Key, Heavy: Scum 

Turin, DPR, Ed: Possible lurking scum

Dice, Verb: No read yet 

Rand, Tigraine: 

image.gif.ae14076b6c45b37f7d20df41dd9dc9fb.gif

 

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wtf where am I

Posted

I am very unhappy that your mega post starts with this.

  On 4/21/2025 at 4:48 PM, Ironeyes said:

Heavy is scum.

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 Goes through a whole lot of reasons why it's ok for you to defend Heavy because you were pretending and then call Key out over and over

 

And then I look back to the start and your definite Mafia is Heavy but you are not voting Heavy.

  • RP - PLAYER
Posted
  On 4/21/2025 at 4:47 PM, Lenlo said:

lol, what was the acronym for calling someone wolf who called you out? And how is Dice even part of this?

You asked me about my reasoning so I think it only fair to ask you yours, how do you get this? I know you're very reactionary, you've never taken being poked/sussed well, but at some point your gonna need to figure that out.

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OMGUS. 

 

Of course I'd be happy to elucidate. I feel you are grabbing at low hanging fruit. Not damning in itself and perhaps not  even AI, but added to your nonchalance about eliminating a town player as necessary collateral, your overplaying the information aspect of my miselimination, it does give me the creeps a bit. Especially as we both know that when mafia, you are the man with the plan from D1. So wolf!Lenlo would be expected to have this kind of plan and given the low activity, low hanging fruit would seem to be the way to go. Not the strongest case ever, no. 

 

But then DPR flies in with a passionate and unnecessary defense. Seems a bit over the top. 

 

Then the half-hearted inclusion but not really of Dice just pinged me. Plus I'm not big on the wrestling posts. Seems semi-likely to be a tell. 

 

I'm also not liking Turin a lot or Ed as Town, and it would be odd that in a few posts the entire team would out themselves. 

 

But that is where my thought processes are. 

Posted
  On 4/21/2025 at 5:06 PM, Lenlo said:

wtf where am I

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I guess if I forgot you then the "who" category is the natural fit

  On 4/21/2025 at 5:06 PM, Ithillian Turambar said:

I am very unhappy that your mega post starts with this.

 Goes through a whole lot of reasons why it's ok for you to defend Heavy because you were pretending and then call Key out over and over

 

And then I look back to the start and your definite Mafia is Heavy but you are not voting Heavy.

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No, that is not what I said. I'm not pretending to defend Heavy. I was waffling about whether I thought he was mafia or not, which a lot of people (some honestly, some maliciously) interpreted as defense. I landed on scum for him but so has everyone else, so I'm using my vote to make a point before inevitably changing it. 

Posted

Key is using me as cover. She defends Heavy, then points to me defending him (supposedly) loudly and frequently so that her more subtle and more skillful defense goes under the radar. 

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