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(BASIC): The Perfect Pizza Town wins


Basel Gill

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Posted

And suddenly Darthe is now willing to lynch me, despite being *almost as certain that I am town as he is about his own alignment* during night phase.

 

And he is mischaracterizing the reasons he is being voted or FOS' d.

I had you marked because in my mind there was no way you would start off bussing your teammate and then switch to defense, it's backwards. Further, your arguments on Berf made sense to me. However, your reads on me and structure doesn't make sense on retread. This could be a bit conf bias for you frankly annoying pushes on me, but I am calling it as I see it when I see it. It's worked so far.

 

TL;DR, I can change my reads whenever I feel they need to change. Would you disagree?

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Posted

@Darthe

 

What made you change your mind about me?

Not being here and something Des said. Will quote later when I get home.

Posted

Dammit.

 

I was wrong. I can admit that. My thoughts on Beef are unfounded, pushed more by my reluctance to understand the need to see me as anything other that town than his play.

 

Berf is town.

 

For the point of it, I have reviewed the entire game and based on my thoughts here are my new reads:

 

Town:

Hally

Berf

Cindy

 

I am middling on Panchi

 

Willing to lynch:

Tress

Peace

Krak

 

unvote vote Peace

I choose this because we are two and two, with a claimed vig and potentially a doc out there to claim as well. Peace is inactive and he fits what I would expect of mafia that is being so decimated. You may agree or disagree

 

So you wouldn't be scum because you wouldn't bus your teammates early...yet I would?

 

BTW...who's the vig?  I haven't had a chance to catch up...due to large power outages.

Posted

 

Dammit.

 

I was wrong. I can admit that. My thoughts on Beef are unfounded, pushed more by my reluctance to understand the need to see me as anything other that town than his play.

 

Berf is town.

 

For the point of it, I have reviewed the entire game and based on my thoughts here are my new reads:

 

Town:

Hally

Berf

Cindy

 

I am middling on Panchi

 

Willing to lynch:

Tress

Peace

Krak

 

unvote vote Peace

I choose this because we are two and two, with a claimed vig and potentially a doc out there to claim as well. Peace is inactive and he fits what I would expect of mafia that is being so decimated. You may agree or disagree

 

So you wouldn't be scum because you wouldn't bus your teammates early...yet I would?

 

BTW...who's the vig?  I haven't had a chance to catch up...due to large power outages.

 

 

Voting is different from forming and leading lynches.  I would be shocked if the mafia didn't vote either teammate.

Posted

 

And suddenly Darthe is now willing to lynch me, despite being *almost as certain that I am town as he is about his own alignment* during night phase.

 

And he is mischaracterizing the reasons he is being voted or FOS' d.

I had you marked because in my mind there was no way you would start off bussing your teammate and then switch to defense, it's backwards. Further, your arguments on Berf made sense to me. However, your reads on me and structure doesn't make sense on retread. This could be a bit conf bias for you frankly annoying pushes on me, but I am calling it as I see it when I see it. It's worked so far.

 

TL;DR, I can change my reads whenever I feel they need to change. Would you disagree?

 

 

Oh, feel free to change your read.  But it looks like you decided to FOS me solely because I think you're a good suspect, which doesn't make me feel any better about you. 

 

And your role fishing pinged me horribly.

Posted

It is accurate.  If we have reveals of PR's (tomorrow) then the game is not mathematically winnable by mafia.

Posted

VC is unchanged from last time. A little over 13 hours till DL. I will be working till 630, so I won't be on again for a long while.

Posted
Forgive the mess because Notepad don't like formatting, and neither does DM.

 

 

Post #'s

(Minus 3 for "Game Posts - ie after OP)

 

 

Cindy 4,6,9,16,20 (P2) 22,25, 27, 28 (p3) 59 (p4) 61,75,76,77,79(p5)81,82,89,93,94

Tress 5,    (p2) (p3) 50,54 (p4) 62,65,66,70,73,78(p5)86

Kaylee 7,8,10,12,14,18,19 (p2) 24,29,33,34,37 (p3) 44,52,56,57 (p4) 63

Kronos 11,13,15,17 (p2) 21,23,26,30,32,39,40 (p3) 42,45,46,51,53,55,60 (p4) 68,69,71

Hallia    (p2) 31,38 (p3) 47 (p4) 67,72

Berf    (p2) 35,36 (p3) 41,43,48,49,58 (p4) (p5)84,90,91

Peace (p4) 64 (p5)83,85

Darthe - - (p4) 74, 80

Desp - - (p5)87

Panchi - - - (p5)88 

Tiink - - - (p5)92

 

 

First to post page 1 CINDY, Tress, Kaylee

First to post page 2 KRONOS, CINDY

First to post page 3 BERF, KRONOS

First to post page 4 CINDY, Tress

First to post page 5 CINDY, Peace

 

1st, 2nd, 3rd.

 

 

Last to post page 1 CINDY, then KAYLEE

Last to post page 2 KRONOS, Halli 3rd last(double Kronos post)

Last to post page 3 KRONOS, Cindy, then berf

Last to post page 4 DARTHE, then cindy

Last to post before Triggers - cindy

 

last, 2nd last, 3rd last...

 

First new player page 2 HALLIA, then BERF

First new player page 3 none

First new player page 4 PEACE, DARTHE

First new player page 5 DESP, PANCHI

 

Last player to enter Tiinks, then Panchi, then Desp

 

 

Name(post count before triggers post by Basel) (any notable or unique things about the post patterns)

 

 

First player CINDY(22) (Second to reach 5)(3rd to 10)(3rd to 13)(3rd to 15)(Second to 20)(single word post)

 

Second TRESS(8) (First to vote?)(First emote)(5th to 5)(first quoted)(1st image)

 

Third KAYLEE(17) (First double post)(multi emote)(First to Five posts)(Quote of Quote)(1st to 10)(2nd 13)(2nd 15)

 

fourth KRONOS(22) (First to Quote)(3rd to 5)(2nd to Ten)(1st to 13?)(1st to 15)(1st to 20)

 

fifth HALLIA(5) ...5 posts and nothing.

 

sixth BERF(9) (4th to 5)(first to post single smily)

 

seventh PEACE(3) (Single word intro)

 

eighth DARTHE(2) Tries to hit triggers. Keywords?

 

ninth DESP(1) Tries to hit triggers. Keywords?

 

tenth PANCHI(1) ...nothing

 

eleventh Tinks(1) Last to check in.

 

12/13 Krak/Mish No posts before triggers met.

 

 

 

 

 

post 5 KAYLEE

post 10 KRONOS

post 15 KAYLEE

post 20 KRONOS

post 25 CINDY

post 30 KAYLEE

post 35 HALLIA

post 40 BERF

post 45 BERF

post 50 KRONOS

post 55 BERF

post 60 KAYLEE

post 65 KRONOS

post 70 TRESS

post 75 TRESS

post 80 PEACE

post 85 PANCHI

post 90 CINDY

post 95 CINDY

Post 96 last post. CINDY.

 

 

 


Posts by time:

First to post after the hour:

after 2: Tress

3pm: Kronos

5pm: Peace

6pm: Desp

8pm: Panchi

9pm: Cindy

 

Doesn't account for Hali having Vig shot or Kaylee's Cop role. Must assume Tress AND peace are mafia. Considering.

 

Last post before 2pm

Cindy

3pm: Tress

4pm: Cindy

6pm: Tress

7pm: Desp

9pm: Tiink

 

No sight of Kaylee.

Posted

So the thing that really boils my goat:

 

There are only two things I can find that could be signifiers for Desp - 

 

A) He was trying to hit keywords.

 

B) Rando post number.

 

 

Both myself, Darthe, and Desp tried to catch a role. I obviously can't speak for Darthe, but I know I didn't, and we know Desp did.

 

Now, that being said, we can't guess what the keywords are, nor can we guess what rando post number the trigger may have been. So I am at an impasse.

 

I posted all this so everyone can throw their eyes over it. 

 

Yes including mafia. But this information is handier for us at this point than it is for mafia.

 

 

 

 

Any thoughts?

Posted

I'm prob getting lynched today but meh, my mafia motivation is pretty low today. My reads for when I flip:

 

Scum: Darthe, Cindy, Peace, Hallia

 

Town: Berf, Mish, Krak, Tress

 

I just want to highlight this post by Des some time before he got lynched.  Orange color denotes those who had voted Des at this point. Blue denotes those who never voted Des. Mish ended up as town. Hallia claims as a vig. 

 

I am sure that the scum is among these names.

 

If mafia is indeed playing a risky gambit, I would have to look at Darthe. But, still not convinced that Des would want to sacrifice himself just to hide the final mafia.

 

My best guesses now is still between Krak and Tress. 

Posted

Running out of time to achieve a lynch today.  My thoughts are unchanged. 

 

Cindy hasn't voted, and our votes are all over the map here.  We need to consolidate.

 

Willing to vote:

Darthe

Berf

Pralaya

Possibly Cindy although I think she's less likely

 

If y'all decide to consolidate on me, do it quickly, because you'll want time to pick someone else.  

Posted

It is accurate.  If we have reveals of PR's (tomorrow) then the game is not mathematically winnable by mafia.

 

Assuming there are sufficient PRs left in the game, yes.  Tomorrow.

 

But you started fishing well before that, and it makes me very wary of you.

Posted

Tress, wtf is with that set of reads?

 

Also @Berf that was an impressive load of work. Bravo.

 

I already gave my reads.  That was my list in order of who I'm willing to vote.  I'd prefer we consolidate on you, obviously, but if others don't agree, I'd go for Berf as a second choice, I think Pralaya is less likely, and Cindy even less than that.

 

Hally and Peace I don't want to vote.

Posted

I'm rereading now, not far in, but I'm home sick so I'll get through it.

 

I'm still pinging on pray, I still read berf as town, and my gut doesn't give me a town read on darthe but my brain does.

 

got nothing on peace and that worries me.

Posted

I don't understand the reasons behind Cindy and others thinking me as scum. This is my first serious post after I replaced Panchi, where I am looking at Des and WBK as scum. And, both of them turned out to be scum. 

 

Uff, I skimmed through the whole thread. Not a lot of things happening in the first 10 pages and things escalate quickly.

 

Berf: The main thing going against him was the train bandwagon he tried to start. However, at Day 1, it does not look scummy at all and all too obvious. Wifom or not, too much of a risk to do if he was scum. Givin him a pass

WBK: Was the first to jump on Berf's case. Clearly, looks like pouncing on an opportunity when others were looking elsewhere. 

 

Des:  All over the place. It is interesting to see that when Berf posts the "Despo train", Des remains silent till someone votes on Berf and then starts jumping on it

This post looks really scummy to me - he accuses WBK first, mentions that nobody is following his lead on Tress and then proceeds to vote Berf after all that  Looks to be distancing from WBK. Still, giving the benefit of doubt due to it being just one post.

http://www.dragonmount.com/forums/topic/83531-basic-the-perfect-pizza-day-1/page-11?do=findComment&comment=2981622

 

Mish and Tress: Leaning towards scummy but not getting good reads at the moment. Will be looking at them in the future.

 

Darthe looks like town. 

 

Missing some others but not getting much reads now.

WBK seems to be the top scum for now. 

 

vote WBK

Posted

 

Des:  All over the place. It is interesting to see that when Berf posts the "Despo train", Des remains silent till someone votes on Berf and then starts jumping on it

This post looks really scummy to me - he accuses WBK first, mentions that nobody is following his lead on Tress and then proceeds to vote Berf after all that  Looks to be distancing from WBK. Still, giving the benefit of doubt due to it being just one post.

http://www.dragonmount.com/forums/topic/83531-basic-the-perfect-pizza-day-1/page-11?do=findComment&comment=2981622

 

 

vote WBK

 

 

 

I had a suspicion on Desp even on day 1 when I entered the game. Still not 100% but considering all the other players, more doubts on him. Let us see.

 

vote desp 

yeah, ok.

Posted

Vote count: Des (6): Cindy, Darthe, Peace, Berf, Pralaya, MishDarthe (1): Des Not voting (4): Hally, Krak, Tress, TiinkWith 11 alive, it takes 6 to lynch. DL is Sun. Jul. 28th at 9 PM EST.http://www.timeanddate.com/countdown/generic?iso=20130728T21&p0=422That's a lynch. Scene on the way.

I don't have any scum reads in that list.

 

I've got strong town reads on tress and hally.

 

I'm less sure about krak but I still read town.

 

if I'm looking for people who'd be up to pulling a gambit that insane only darthe and peace are remotely possible, and that's real remote. I don't see the point. guts and glory doesn't cut it.

Posted

 

 

It is accurate. If we have reveals of PR's (tomorrow) then the game is not mathematically winnable by mafia.

Assuming there are sufficient PRs left in the game, yes. Tomorrow.

 

But you started fishing well before that, and it makes me very wary of you.

You were already wary of me. Not an unreasonable attitude considering, and proper for anyone.

 

@Krak I forgot to :sheepish: but I will soon.

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