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DRAGONMOUNT

A WHEEL OF TIME COMMUNITY

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  • Moderator
Posted
  On 4/22/2025 at 2:33 AM, Darthe said:

In case you're not pulling my leg, that is the name of his character from the movie. 

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HAHAHA - I was not pulling your leg.  Love that movie, but totally forgot his name.

 

Well done on the unintentional misdirection there.  Love it.

  • Moderator
Posted
  On 4/22/2025 at 2:32 AM, DPR said:


Which is, of course, why nothing is making sense. 

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Can't wait to hear how Marsh was super scummy and it's his fault he was lynched.

 

Also can't wait to hear how Ithi explains how she was not willing to entertain being wrong while being wrong.....or just being right and scum.

 

Fun times we live in.

Posted
  On 4/22/2025 at 1:58 AM, dicetosser1 said:

You have two minutes to scramble

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lol holy crap, what are the odds. Future reference maybe dont wait until the last two minutes.

 

Anyways, still feeling pretty good about my Heavy vote, ngl. Gonna need to do some wagonomics on Marsh's train as well, but between that and Heavy we'll figure somethin out.

Posted
  On 4/22/2025 at 2:44 AM, Lenlo said:

Future reference maybe dont wait until the last two minutes.

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Asking again, but is this not so obvious, especially for a player like Dice, where their should be very serious aspersions cast on the claim? I mean if he was mafia, that's exactly what he would've done.

  • Moderator
Posted

In case I don't live to see the morning, here's where I'm at after this flip.  Wagonomics states that Rand is most likely town.  If scum and Dice is town, then Rand would just state internet lag or something and boom - cop is dead.  That he moved means most likely town.  He currently stands alone.

 

Town

Rand

 

Next is the town lean group.  I gave some thoughts on these before - nothing has really changed yet.

 

Town Lean

Nyn

Key

Lenlo

 

Next is the "who the eff knows" group.  I just don't have enough to read yet (for me).  I know Turin has plenty of content, but he spent too much time D1 defending everything said to Ithi that it muddies the read a bit.  I'm confused on Heavy.  Marsh had him scum, but I was leaning the other way.  I'll meet Marsh in the middle and place Heavy here for now.  Ed and Tigs I don't have a read on.

 

Null

Turin

Heavy

Ed

Tigs

 

Now my WTL group.  I had already put DPR and Dice in my scum leans, and Ithi joins them with her bad take on Marsh only being able to be scum.  Not allowing for incorrect assumptions is not townie behavior.  And I did say I'm killing everybody on Marsh's lynch train.

 

WTL

Ithi

DPR

Dice

  • Moderator
Posted
  On 4/22/2025 at 2:54 AM, Verbal32 said:

And I did say I'm killing everybody on Marsh's lynch train.

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The exception here is Key - she's last as I did have her as a town lean prior to all this.  And the way a scum lean in Dice treated her makes me think they have the potential to be teammates, but only if Dice is scum.

 

That made sense in my head, not sure.

 

 

 

Dice gets left in WTL because of GF potential.  If true, the real Cop needs to consider all angles, and maybe grab a red peek before countering so we get a 2fer in the deal.  Maybe.

Posted
  On 4/22/2025 at 2:50 AM, RandA lThor said:

Asking again, but is this not so obvious, especially for a player like Dice, where their should be very serious aspersions cast on the claim? I mean if he was mafia, that's exactly what he would've done.

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Heres the thing, even if we suspect its false, we cant just do it for no reason. If it's a lie, then the moment the real cop reveals/flips we have one wolf caught 100%, ez clap, and Dice has to spend the rest of the game playing like a town/cop. Any screwups they make, any indicators as to teammates, all will be there should the real cop be revealed. So we lose nothing really.

 

However if they are the real cop, we obviously dont want to lynch them. Hence, there's no reason to not believe him for now.

Posted

Now there are a few interesting things here: (Note this is not me saying where to go, do your own thing, I'm just explaining role theory here not trying to direct anyone)

 

We have a doc who can protect the cop, and if Dice is telling the truth than he has a big target on his back. Now naturally, this means wolves might not go for it, why bother they have a role blocker, so Dice is basically just town at this point if he's telling the truth. So now it's a game of bluff between the Doc and the Wolves NK.

 

At the same time though, if Dice is perpetually getting blocked then we wont have to worry about potential false reads from the Godfather getting viewed, so  the potential to accidentally deepwolf a viewed Godfather goes down since the Cop isn't... copping.

 

I don't really know where I'm going with this, but roles are about to go crazy yo.

  • Moderator
Posted
  On 4/22/2025 at 3:10 AM, Lenlo said:

Heres the thing, even if we suspect its false, we cant just do it for no reason. If it's a lie, then the moment the real cop reveals/flips we have one wolf caught 100%, ez clap, and Dice has to spend the rest of the game playing like a town/cop. Any screwups they make, any indicators as to teammates, all will be there should the real cop be revealed. So we lose nothing really.

 

However if they are the real cop, we obviously dont want to lynch them. Hence, there's no reason to not believe him for now.

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If he's the real Cop, he's either dead tonight, or perma-RBed.  Good news is that means Doc will have free reign to protect from NKs.

 

This could actually be a good thing for town.

Posted
  On 4/22/2025 at 3:16 AM, Lenlo said:

Now there are a few interesting things here: (Note this is not me saying where to go, do your own thing, I'm just explaining role theory here not trying to direct anyone)

 

We have a doc who can protect the cop, and if Dice is telling the truth than he has a big target on his back. Now naturally, this means wolves might not go for it, why bother they have a role blocker, so Dice is basically just town at this point if he's telling the truth. So now it's a game of bluff between the Doc and the Wolves NK.

 

At the same time though, if Dice is perpetually getting blocked then we wont have to worry about potential false reads from the Godfather getting viewed, so  the potential to accidentally deepwolf a viewed Godfather goes down since the Cop isn't... copping.

 

I don't really know where I'm going with this, but roles are about to go crazy yo.

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my plan, until the GF is dead was to put any viewed people with town results as Possible Town

 

if I said their Town that’s MY personal read if their scum I actually got a red peel but I’d be voting that first thing in the morning

 

 

so a list would look like this

 

Town

 

Nyn

Key

 

Possible Town

 

 

scum

 

i think scum

 

rand

Posted
  On 4/21/2025 at 1:55 PM, HeavyHalfMoonBlade said:

I get that but muddying the waters with t/'t violence is also not helpful. Also making sketchy cases against players seems an incredibly wolfy thing to do and seems like there is a high chance of backfiring. How then is anyone meant to find the wolves if town are carrying out wolf tactics? I have to stay in the comfort zone of my own abilities, I feel like I have damaged town's chances enough today with lashing out randomly at people with sketchy reasoning. Not only would I be likely eliminated by my flip would tell no one anything. 

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sometimes you gotta follow your nose and you can find mafia in the bandwagon. Are you saying there’s no benefit to this? Cause I’m reading this as saying you want nothing but a solid case but how do you build a solid case starting with some shaky ones first 

Posted
  On 4/21/2025 at 3:34 PM, keyholder21 said:

 

How about now??

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hopefully on my drive tomorrow when my friend is driving. I have job and business stuff that requires more immediate attention. 
 

until then, vibes. 
 

vibes and viciously attacking DPR. 

Posted

Also I feel like I need to note a lot of my posts are essentially “thinking out loud” and if you don’t read past me joking, that’s on you. Tell me you’re skimming without telling me you’re skimming. 

Posted
  On 4/21/2025 at 3:56 PM, Lenlo said:

Compare that to like... You or Ed who have interacted primarily through memes and jokes rather than anything substantive.

 

 

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how dare you. Don’t compare me to verb like this. 

Posted
  On 4/21/2025 at 3:58 PM, Lenlo said:

Yeah, because thats exactly what I did last game /s. And "Tunnel"? Bro its been like 2 hours and 5 posts with Heavy right here to chat back and forth with. Whats with this complete misrepresentation of the conversation?

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Not going back to confirm times yet

but I’d agree it’s a mischaracterization of that holds true. 

Posted
  On 4/22/2025 at 3:16 AM, Verbal32 said:

 

If he's the real Cop, he's either dead tonight, or perma-RBed.  Good news is that means Doc will have free reign to protect from NKs.

 

This could actually be a good thing for town.

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Idk how nuts this is theory-wise, and maybe this is bad for me to suggest, but would it make sense for the doc to protect Verbal or myself as Im assuming mafia will want to kill one of us if they have the roleblocker to take care of Dice (if he is the cop) and they're fine with the circumstances of him still looking shady even if we wouldn't chance voting him during the day without a counterclaim (which could be strategically played by them as well)?

 

Feels like we're decently down rn as town with a dead townie and a cop claim, maybe it's necessary to play with some risk? 

Posted
  On 4/21/2025 at 6:59 PM, HeavyHalfMoonBlade said:

The language is confusing slightly (I get the irony) but it is clear when you look at it. Clearly the motivation is to be nice, not to deceive, though it is very easy to get the wrong impression. 

 

Cannot help but feel this is a misrep, and with my grudging town suspicions of Marsh... 

 

Vote: DPR

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Seeing that Marsh flipped town, I agree with DPR being potential scum. He started the push imo, and likely led this lunch. It’s super easy to hide behind D1 gotta get info bandwagon. DPR I know could waive this off. There’s a post I think I already replied to where I even agreed/argued with needing to build some kind of case D1. IIRC DPR was in the root of thT quote and if so, feels like he was laying groundwork to lead a wagon 

 

But you’re also on my vibes list rn. 

Posted
  On 4/21/2025 at 10:45 PM, DPR said:


Do better. In the actual game. Love to see reads and a real vote lol. 

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Well for now you get random thoughts. Bite me, pirate boy. 
 

also about to zonk out so idk what else I’ll get to 

Posted
  On 4/22/2025 at 6:35 AM, ed2funy said:

Well for now you get random thoughts. Bite me, pirate boy. 
 

also about to zonk out so idk what else I’ll get to 

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Thoughts on my suggestion above?

Posted
  On 4/22/2025 at 12:53 AM, RandA lThor said:

Holy I am remaining caught up for the rest of this game, that re-read was not fun lmfao, that took so long.

 

Ok starting off with a color-based spectrum of reads and I'll explain more as I go, will be on the train back home soon and can purely focus on the game

 

Dice, DPR, Ed

Heavy, Tigraine

-------

Ithi, Key, Marsh

Turin, Verbal

Nynaeve

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Updated List:

 

DPR

Tigraine, Ithi, Dice, Ed

-------

Heavy, Key, Lenlo (whoops sry Len)

Turin, Nynaeve

Verbal

Posted
  On 4/22/2025 at 2:16 AM, RandA lThor said:

what are peoples thoughts on the real cop waiting until 2 minutes before to reveal? Obv you want to avoid if possible, but it was clear like 15-20 minutes before that I was gonna vote for Dice, and Marsh would have to, and he didn't give us time to make a legitimate switch, effectively forcing us to get Marsh

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Idk tbh, feels like he was trying to breadcrumb, then lots of soft claiming and then finally doing it. Yes it was close, but people were posting 

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