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[Standard] The Matrix Reloaded - Game Over


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Posted

Thane give us some reads and let us know what you're thinking, mmmk?

 

Zander: that blows! I had a rough night at work and I'm just trying to get some homework done for now since there's not much going on here (thank goodness, bc catching up on all those pages was evil).

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Posted
  On 11/7/2015 at 2:10 AM, Sili Quirrels said:

only maybe kind of... if he had a strong scumread of clov before the flip, but even then i'd question the 180, as I did.

 

I feel like yates' position might be a predicated on an amalgamation of elements, which might explain why Yates did a 180... or not.

 

The++_3fbce8bb43a12c44da313d97712f6c6e.p

Posted
  On 11/7/2015 at 12:46 PM, Thane Vakarian said:

30 bloody pages.... i've skimmed 30 pages... 

 

and Lenlo is dead, and wolf. Gods why did i buy his claim..? Should have known better....

 

i need to rethink my entire suspect pool....

 

Can't blame you all for sussing me, i've been stupid enough to believe Len. And i missed the entire EOD.. ugh...  

 

 

morning pops!!!!

 

 

get yourself caught up and let us know what youre thinking

Posted
  On 11/7/2015 at 12:49 PM, alannalynn said:

Thane give us some reads and let us know what you're thinking, mmmk?

 

Zander: that blows! I had a rough night at work and I'm just trying to get some homework done for now since there's not much going on here (thank goodness, bc catching up on all those pages was evil).

 

 

i feel youre pain my dear!!!!

 

 

what are your thoughts currently on things here?

Posted
  On 11/7/2015 at 3:24 AM, Shad_ said:

But it does tell me Thane and Hallia are not w/w.

 

 

im thinking Hallia is.  your thoughts?

Posted
  On 11/7/2015 at 2:30 AM, Shad_ said:

Oh derp, now I remember why Yates is scum.

 

 

  On 11/7/2015 at 2:30 AM, Shad_ said:

Lenlo hasn't played in forever.  Do you really think that 1x Doc claim wasn't coached?

 

 

  On 11/7/2015 at 2:52 AM, Hallia said:

He likes claiming when scum, I wouldn't say coaching.

 

 

things that make me say hmmmmm.....

Posted
  On 11/7/2015 at 3:11 AM, Hallia said:

Oh yeah, early on I will def. say that I thought Len was town.  Glad to say I was wrong on that, and came around in the end.  I could see Yates being scum this game, Sili.

 

 

house-typing-o.gif

Posted
  On 11/7/2015 at 1:01 PM, Zander said:

 

  On 11/7/2015 at 12:49 PM, alannalynn said:

Thane give us some reads and let us know what you're thinking, mmmk?

 

Zander: that blows! I had a rough night at work and I'm just trying to get some homework done for now since there's not much going on here (thank goodness, bc catching up on all those pages was evil).

 

i feel youre pain my dear!!!!

 

what are your thoughts currently on things here?

Not changed much since my last post, mainly since I've been at work all night and haven't gone back to look at anything. I'm liking work that Shad is putting in, but I'm also hesitant to call Yates mafia due to his defense of Lenlo. Firstly because that's some serious defense if they're scummates and secondly: I've been town and defended the hell outta scum before. So, that's meh. Good posts on Tabor though..

 

Hally/Tab/RTE/Dice a healthy POE at this point, imo. With a tinfoil on Yates. And a partridge in a pear tree.

 

Fwiw, I will fight a lynch on Thane, if anyone is thinking of going that way. Other DO NOT LYNCH: Shad, Zander, Sili

Posted
  On 11/7/2015 at 5:44 AM, Shad_ said:

So my basic question: is town!Tab perpetually lost in the clouds or is this as blatantly opportunistic as it looks on the surface?

 

But the short answer to this is yes.

Posted

So I get why I'm suddenly in the poe. I was wrong on a read. That read happened to be scum. Fine. I get it. So let's talk brass tacks since I still want to win this game and I can't do it if I allow myself to get mislynched. I'm actually working all day today but I will check in as I can - probably from phone which sucks - but I'm going to put in a reasonable effort to answer any questions you may have for me wrt my play or my motivations for things. I'm entirely certain that I can convince enough of you that my heart is pure because EVERYTHING I'VE DONE has been done as a Townie that is part of the uninformed majority.

 

Since this seems to be a recurring theme so far, let me address this first:

  On 11/7/2015 at 12:39 PM, Zander said:

not gonna lie the swing around was a little off to me.

I had the "swing around" specifically because I knew I had to stop being lazy and put in more work. I knew on some level that I was confirmation biasing Cory. While on my way to pick up pizza for lunch I came to the conclusion that I didn't want to lose this game because I was stuck in a tunnel. So I did something I hate doing - I got on my PHONE and PHONE POSTED to unvote because I realized I was voting Corlana for the wrong reasons and I would be ticked if I allowed a scum sweep because I refused to at least consider why Clov might be a direct target if that were the case.

 

In going back and looking at Clov's ISO, I came to the conclusion that he was either directly targeted for being not just Town read - because Shad had more Town equity than Clov to be frank - but because he had a good poe [also slight chance because he was softing an investigative PR but it seemed like a fairly transparent attempt so I'm not sure there]. OR Clov was not the direct target. While Shad makes a decent point that Clov *may have* protected him in the event he was lying about being 1-shot - something I hadn't considered - I was thinking Clov would have been more likely to have been protecting Cory due to a strong Town read and I would imagine a desire to keep at least one of their voices in the game to help with the game solve. So knowing Clov, and trusting his reads more as a confirmed Town [because yes, I was obviously also considering a Cory/Clov scum team or at least one of them being wolf for the same reasons many of you have stated thinking *I* might be deep wolfing it] I had to begrudgingly admit that the evidence suggested I was wrong about my Cory read.

 

Why was I reading Cory as scum? Bad reads. Simple as that. This is why I understand why I'm in the poe.

 

With Lenlo? I saw him being pushed early for nonsensical reasons. FTR - I'm not the only one who noticed this. I have been in quite a few games where Lenlo was an easy mislynch. So from my pov? It looked opportunistic. I don't associate opportunistic pushes as being on SCUM. So yeah. I gave him an early Town read. I figured giving him more time to post would give himself a chance to clear himself if Town. It's really that easy. He never really took that step despite a bit of coaching on my part. So my read on him softened. When I realized my whole Town core was screaming Len had to be scum? And by all accounts it appeared that despite my best efforts Lenlo was unable to Town tell? Yeah. I had to conclude that I could be wrong about that read as well.

 

Now look at it from Lenlo's perspective. He thinks he has me pocketed. So he plays along with it. Once I'm pocketed, OF COURSE he is going to have me in his top Town reads. OF COURSE he is going to make a single post when he leaves a potential hedge in "but maybe I'm biased because he's defending me." This is just how you string along a pocketed Townie. I'm sure his team was laughing all along knowing that if/when Lenlo was lynched it would look TERRIBLE for me and that I would be an easy[er] mislynch to focus on.

 

Well, I'm not going down without a fight. I have faith that our Town core will be able to take a step back, reassess the information, and try to reread my ISO *without* the confirmation bias that I was allowing to blind my Cory read.

 

If this doesn't happen? And I get mislynched? At least I will leave the game knowing I did my level best to prevent it and no one will be able to accuse me of playing poorly or letting the Town down.

Posted
  On 11/7/2015 at 3:27 AM, Shad_ said:

Generally I don't think players who peeled off Lenlo onto Hallia today can be scum mates with her, because she was a realistic possibility to go down and as non-GF Rack was never not getting lynched eventually.

 

So either she's town or they all are. Gotta look at who actually did that.

 

 

i think overall Hallia's been sketchy.

 

the weird posts with little to know reasoning

 

her peel with Pral by sheeping Cory who she was sussing.

 

not answering questions or concerns.

 

i mean if Scum!Hallia sees Len who in this case she knows is scum...is going very likely going down and shes already in a lot of people's PoE....a hammer really her only move isnt?

Posted

Talk to me Zander. How can I assuage any doubts you may have about my Towniness? And remember, I PINKIE SWORE I am Town.

Posted
  On 11/7/2015 at 8:38 AM, ReleaseTheEvil said:

Here's a question. Between Hallia's hammer and Tabor's hammer, which of the two looks worse now?

 

 

i wasnt a fan of either but I would lean Hallia here.

Posted
  On 11/7/2015 at 1:55 PM, Yates said:

Talk to me Zander. How can I assuage any doubts you may have about my Towniness? And remember, I PINKIE SWORE I am Town.

 

 

im not saying youre def scum. just that the quick flip around on Cory was a little unsettling along with the defending of Len.

 

what can you do to erase my doubts??!!!

 

WRECK A WOLF TODAY  BROTHER!!!!

Posted
  On 11/7/2015 at 8:58 AM, ReleaseTheEvil said:

I'll try collecting Hallia's and Tabor's posts before and after their hammers in a bit.

 

Based on Sili's ISOs (thanks) my lynch pool tomorrow would be Yates, Tabor, Hallia, Thane.

 

 

are you fully caught up?

 

are you just sheeping Sili here or do you have any of your own thoughts about this list to add?

Posted
  On 11/7/2015 at 1:20 PM, alannalynn said:

 

  On 11/7/2015 at 1:01 PM, Zander said:

 

  On 11/7/2015 at 12:49 PM, alannalynn said:

Thane give us some reads and let us know what you're thinking, mmmk?

 

Zander: that blows! I had a rough night at work and I'm just trying to get some homework done for now since there's not much going on here (thank goodness, bc catching up on all those pages was evil).

 

i feel youre pain my dear!!!!

 

what are your thoughts currently on things here?

Not changed much since my last post, mainly since I've been at work all night and haven't gone back to look at anything. I'm liking work that Shad is putting in, but I'm also hesitant to call Yates mafia due to his defense of Lenlo. Firstly because that's some serious defense if they're scummates and secondly: I've been town and defended the hell outta scum before. So, that's meh. Good posts on Tabor though..

 

Hally/Tab/RTE/Dice a healthy POE at this point, imo. With a tinfoil on Yates. And a partridge in a pear tree.

 

Fwiw, I will fight a lynch on Thane, if anyone is thinking of going that way. Other DO NOT LYNCH: Shad, Zander, Sili

 

 

 

who is your strongest scum read from your list?

 

who needs to go first?

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