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 A WHEEL OF TIME COMMUNITY

[Advanced] The Usual Suspects Mafia - GAME OVER - COPS WIN

Songstress

By Songstress
in DM Mafia Games

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Songstress Spam Master

Songstress

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OFFICIAL VOTE COUNT:

Nolderf (1): CorKey
Pral (2): Nolderf, Sili
Shad (4): Sephander, Kivam, Wombicat, John Snow
Kivam (2): Hally, Csarmi

Yates (1): Talya

Not Voting: (6): Laine, Shad, Pral, Yates, Wish/Celeste

With 15 alive, it takes 8 to lynch.

Day 2 Deadline is Thursday, August 20, at 10:00 AM MST/1PM EDT:
http://www.timeanddate.com/countdown/generic?iso=20150820T09&p0=197&msg=Day+Two+Deadline&font=cursive&csz=1

Nolder Spam Master

Nolder

Posted
Posted

 

 

 

Ouch...

 

@Mods: Can you pretty please update the OP with links to lynches and Nightkills? TY

 

 

Oy, sorry... I knew there was something I was forgetting.  Will do that here momentarily.

 

Thank you so much. I know being the inactive lamer I am right now I don't even deserve the help but...yeah thanks lol.

 

 

OK, post #2 is updated as I intended all along :unsure:   :tongue:

 

http://www.dragonmount.com/forums/topic/95247-advanced-the-usual-suspects-mafia-day-2/?p=3526923

 

Thank you!

Nolder Spam Master

Nolder

Posted
Posted

OFFICIAL VOTE COUNT:

 

Sephander (3): John Snow, Lenlo, Csarmi

Kivam (4): Hallia, Nyce, Sili, Shad

Lenlo (8): CorKey, Razen, AJ, Yates, ClovFG, Kivam, Wombicat, Sephander

John Snow (2): Pral, Wish/Celeste

Hallia (1): Talya

 

 

Not Voting (2): Nolderf, Laine

 

With 20 alive, it takes 11 to lynch.

Ok so this was the final votecount for D1 with known alignments colored in.

This is going to be one of those logic puzzles where you're given pieces of info and using deduction you should be able to figure out the rest.

The tricky part is going to be making assumptions about whether any individual vote is a bus or not. For example I don't think Sender bussed Lenlo since Lenlo crossed him but obviously it could be the case. Let's look at more wagons and see if we can connect some dots.

Nolder Spam Master

Nolder

Posted
Posted

OFFICIAL VOTE COUNT:

 

Nolderf (1): CorKey

Pral (2): Nolderf, Sili

Shad (4): Sephander, Kivam, Wombicat, John Snow

Kivam (2): Hally, Csarmi

Yates (1): Talya

 

Not Voting: (6): Laine, Shad, Pral, Yates, Wish/Celeste

 

With 15 alive, it takes 8 to lynch.

 

Day 2 Deadline is Thursday, August 20, at 10:00 AM MST/1PM EDT:

http://www.timeanddate.com/countdown/generic?iso=20150820T09&p0=197&msg=Day+Two+Deadline&font=cursive&csz=1

Here is the current VC lets compare to end of D1.

Everyone who was on Lenlo train will be dark orange.

Everyone who was on Sender will be maroon.

Everyone who was on Kivam will be dark grey.

John Snow and Hallia trains seem like throwaway votes so going to combine them both into cyan.

Non voters will be plum.

 

Ok now that coloring is out of the way we see some interesting things just comparing these two trains.

It looks very likely that Wombicait, Sender, and Kivam are all on a team and using their numbers. Trying to brute force the lynches.

One of our non voters is still not voting. It appears my counterpart has chosen to vote Pral, why I don't know. I'll ask him lol.

Of the the throwaway voters two aren't voting atm and Talya has again thrown her vote on a non moving train, at least for now.

 

Now let's look into the past and check some D1 trains prior to the lynch using the same color scheme,

Nolder Spam Master

Nolder

Posted
Posted

VC from Page 41
 

OFFICIAL VOTE COUNT

Hallia (1): Lenlo
Seph/Zander (1): ClovFG
Wish/Celeste (1): Sili
Nolderf (1): Laine
Laine (1): Wombicat
Kivish (4): Hallia, Nyce, Zander/Seph, Shad
Lenlo (1): CorKey
Shad (1): Kivish
Wombicat (1): AJ


Not Voting (8): Razen, Pral, Yates, John Snow, Csarmi, Nolderf, Talya, Wish/Celeste

With 20 alive, it takes 11 to lynch.

No deadline has been set at this time.


VC from page 61
 

INFJ mod checking in :wink:
 
==========
 
OFFICIAL VOTE COUNT

Seph/Zander (5): ClovFG, John Snow, Wombicat, Lenlo, Kivish
Nolderf (1): Laine
Kivish (5): Hallia, Nyce, Zander/Seph, Shad, Sili
Lenlo (1): CorKey
Wombicat (1): AJ
John Snow (1): Yates
Csarmi (1): Nolderf


Not Voting (5): Razen, Pral, Csarmi, Talya, Wish/Celeste

With 20 alive, it takes 11 to lynch.

Deadline is Monday Aug 17th @ 9am MST/Noon EST


VC from page 94
 

OFFICIAL VOTE COUNT:

Sephander (4): ClovFG, John Snow, Wombicat, Lenlo
Kivish (6): Hallia, Nyce, Sephander, Shad, Sili, Laine
Lenlo (2): CorKey, Razen
John Snow (1): Pral
Laine (1): Yates
Hallia (1): Talya


Not Voting (5): Csarmi, Wish/Celeste, Nolderf, AJ, Kivish

With 20 alive, it takes 11 to lynch.

Whew that took a long time.

I apologize for the rainbow, I hope it's not too distracting and that everyone is able to follow along with my thought process.

 

Ok so looking back is yielding some pretty interesting stuff.

The Lenlo train appears very split up prior to the lynch meaning maybe only two of them are teamed and most of it was coincidence,

I can't say about Hallia but Shad and Sili appear to be on a team, given they both hopped on the Kivish train together.

 

The most interesting thing to me though and the most concrete is that Wish/Celeste only briefly voted John Snow alongside Pral, otherwise they haven't been voting and aren't voting right now. Now I realize coming from Nolderf this comes off as maybe hypocritical but considering Wish is fighting for top posts with Kivam it's really surprising to me to see Wish/Celeste voting very little and not making any meaningful votes when they do. There's a lot of talk talk talk but not a lot of walking the walk if you see what I mean. All these colors could be meaningless for all I really know but the fact that stands out is that Wish/Celeste (mostly Wish) are talking a LOT but doing very little voting. I think that's a very good place to go moving forward, at least for me.

 

Going to override my counterpart here and [unvote]

 

[v]Wish/Celeste[/v]

Nolder Spam Master

Nolder

Posted
Posted

I feel like I've made a lot of progress on understanding the game tonight despite missing out on ~100 pages.

I hope that wasn't all too convoluted for everyone. Let me know what ya'll think.

Zander? Spam Master

Zander?

Posted
Posted

 

 

My gut tells me I need to rally the troops around lynching one of CorKey, Kiv, Wombicat, or NolDerf, though. How are you guys comfortable voting already? I'm still trying to digest what this all means and you guys are swinging around votes like you don't care.

 

votes can change.  Kiv Id still consider.atp but for now

 

[v] shad [/v]

 

my gut is telling me he needs to be lunched....so is this guy....

 

/snip

Why Shad?

 

 

i dont feel like hes playing like he did in SW and Belicheat.  Im gonna go back over him but my gut is pinging so im good with my vote.

Nolder Spam Master

Nolder

Posted
Posted

What do you think of Yates, throwing out the names and the link, then coming up with an obscure name? Seemed a bit (ok a lot) forced

Talking to me? If so I don't understand the question.

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