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Belichick - Mafia Eternal Night


Darthe

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Posted

Rand, if you're a logical player do I need to be worried that you're pushing that as mafia you shoot Verb every time? If you're mafia and Verb is town you never shoot him, you need him as a possible mislynch and you need your limited shots to kill obvious town.

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Posted
  On 7/10/2015 at 8:37 PM, Andrej said:

Rand and Verb suddenly not scum reading each other, such a shock. Am I the only one seeing the narrative unfolding ITT??

Seriously village - let's push this lynch through. Confirm Rand for wolf he is and then lynch the crap out of Verb next.

No you're not :)

Posted
  On 7/10/2015 at 8:51 PM, BFG said:

Rand, if you're a logical player do I need to be worried that you're pushing that as mafia you shoot Verb every time? If you're mafia and Verb is town you never shoot him, you need him as a possible mislynch and you need your limited shots to kill obvious town.

EBWOP

Shoot Verb every time if he's town

Posted
  On 7/10/2015 at 8:37 PM, Andrej said:

Rand and Verb suddenly not scum reading each other, such a shock. Am I the only one seeing the narrative unfolding ITT??

 

Seriously village - let's push this lynch through. Confirm Rand for wolf he is and then lynch the crap out of Verb next.

When did I ever say I didn't scum read him? I literally stated he's still on the top of my scum list.

 

  On 7/10/2015 at 8:51 PM, BFG said:

Rand, if you're a logical player do I need to be worried that you're pushing that as mafia you shoot Verb every time? If you're mafia and Verb is town you never shoot him, you need him as a possible mislynch and you need your limited shots to kill obvious town.

The reason I would shoot Verb every time as mafia is because not only do I get rid of a townie, but I save myself from an almost certain lynch.  There's no reason for me to risk myself just for one more possible mislynch.

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Posted

How is me wavering on a player I voted for wolfy?

 

It's like you guys want to treat indecision as bad all of a sudden. Wolves can't fake indecision very easily.

 

C'mon AJ, don't make me drag you over the finish line. You're saying I'm a wolf no matter what Rand flips. Me wanting to talk through the situation more is hardly something I should be sussed over.

Posted
  On 7/11/2015 at 12:18 AM, Verbal32 said:

AJ losing his mind ITT.

 

9v68YaU.gif

 

Losing my mind that this village isn't seeing what's obvious - yeah.

Posted
  On 7/11/2015 at 12:21 AM, Verbal32 said:

How is me wavering on a player I voted for wolfy?

 

It's like you guys want to treat indecision as bad all of a sudden. Wolves can't fake indecision very easily.

 

C'mon AJ, don't make me drag you over the finish line. You're saying I'm a wolf no matter what Rand flips. Me wanting to talk through the situation more is hardly something I should be sussed over.

 

Your indecision comes from having to decide which of your teammates to vote in that situation if you ask me.

 

Drag me across the finish line? I'm about to lap you, bro. You aren't doing anything but trying to say your process is villagery although you've provided zero proof of your thoughts and have still yet to begin casing anyone you might think is a suspect. You're treading water, man.

 

I'm actually gonna do you a favor and quote all of Rand's posts from the time you said his lynch was looking to easy to the time you voted him again when Laine was L-1 and then maybe you can point to me where your feelings changed.

Posted
  On 7/8/2015 at 8:12 PM, Verbal32 said:

Rand's impending lynch is starting to look too easy.

 

 

  Reveal hidden contents

 

 

  On 7/9/2015 at 1:29 PM, Verbal32 said:

 

  On 7/9/2015 at 12:19 AM, RandA lThor said:

 

My town reads are also still pretty much the same, I'm hoping thats because I had it right eventually and not because I'm tunneling, but Shad, Thane, Dice, and Zander so far.  Tbh, BFG's null for me, don't get the town hype on her, but I'm still not done yet I guess, and Verbal I haven't seen a post on my read from yet, but its not looking great for him from what I've seen while I'm reading in the current posts.  I'd say very very slight scum read so far with the potential to grow.  Idk if his calling of my train seeming too easy was a scum jump off early, or just normal train analysis.

 

hahahahahahaha

 

hahaha

 

haha

 

 

 

No.

 

  On 7/9/2015 at 1:29 PM, Verbal32 said:

I feel like Rand should die first, here, and Laine should be vigged tonight.

 

  On 7/9/2015 at 1:30 PM, Verbal32 said:

meh

 

 

[v]Rand[/v]

 

 

I have meetings all day, but I'll try to poke back in before noon to move if I need to for a lynch.  Just not ready to hammer yet.

 

Those are all of Rand's posts from the point you mentioned him being too easy of a lynch to the time you decided to vote him again over Laine, our only confirmed wolf, who was at L-1 at the time. He made 13 posts if I counted correctly, and the only one you quoted was his reference to you to substantiate your vote on him.

 

Sort of aligns with Shad's theory that Laine was a better lynch because it was more likely that Rand as a wolf vig had already expended his shot N1 after barely slipping the noose D1.

 

So now that they're laid out - perhaps you can give some more in depth analysis?

Posted
  On 7/10/2015 at 5:55 PM, RandA lThor said:

 

  On 7/10/2015 at 3:32 PM, Andrej said:

Regardless of how Rand flips Verb is still a wolf most likely.

 

Rand = wolf then we know he was lying as an excuse not to shoot Verb.

 

Rand = town then Verb still probably a wolf because of how he handled yesterday's EOD and voted Rand over a confirmed wolf.

 

Still wanna lynch Rand first though

 

Verb = town, Rand is most likely town because mafia wouldn't not shoot town for no reason

 

Verb = wolf then you can go from there, but at least only one more wolf left

 

Btw, working on the case right now

 

Not true. Even if Verb is town you could simply be lying about having a shot because you already fired it N1 when three townies were killed. The fact that you had to come up with a reason for this happening reinforces the idea.

 

Where's that case you were working on?

Posted

^^^^

 

The idea being that you are a wolf who either has used their shot and therefore couldn't kill Verb, or a wolf who wasn't going to kill their teammate.

 

The end result is the still the same though - you're a wolf Rand.

Posted
  On 7/10/2015 at 1:11 PM, Verbal32 said:

Question:  do you guys think Rand would stoop to the level of blaming Cloudflare of some technical glitch on why he didn't submit a kill?

 

 

He's either a wolf that used up his shot, or he's a villager who's telling the truth.  But this explanation is pretty bad, which makes me think he might be a villager telling the truth.  I'm back on the fence with him.

 

  On 7/10/2015 at 8:22 PM, RandA lThor said:

 

  On 7/10/2015 at 7:11 PM, Verbal32 said:

Please nobody hammer Rand until he can come in and present his case on me.  I'm genuinely curious, because I've wavered on him recently.

 

I repeat, no hammer.

 

Oh um, I was actually talking about my case on Talya, AJ, and BFG.  My case on you was pretty simple, low activity combined with an apathetic voting pattern that seemed like it was just jumping on the BW and laying low.  You're starting to look better when you're active, but not to a point where you're not at the top of my scum list.

 

Here we have Rand and Verb both backing away from their previous scum reads on each other. Before this Verb was voting Rand EOD2 and going into D3 Rand had Verb as his #1 scum read.

 

Neither have voted or cased one another - or anyone else for that matter. Apparently Rand has dropped Verb from #1 and instead is focusing his attention on me, BFG and Talya who are ALL have considerable village equity at this point.

 

This is what I meant by not letting them up for air. We have given them a gasp and now they want to get a lungful - you guys need to see this.

Posted

Every time I check this thread I want to respond to it like I'm playing.  Ya'll aren't incredibly chatty but good job keeping the content high.  I like a dense game.

Posted
  On 7/10/2015 at 1:09 PM, Verbal32 said:

 

  On 7/10/2015 at 12:47 AM, Andrej said:

I think it's Rand/Verb an overwhelming amount of time here.

 

Verb basically doesn't want to work with town on the merit of wifom and Rand is continuing to act as if there is no reason to be suspicious of him. Like it sort of baffles me lol. Ignoring everything and everyone calling you wolf doesn't clear you, bro.

 

Think it through.  If I admit I have a shot, then I'm getting shot that night and I might not be ready for a hero shot.  If I admit I don't have a shot, then I'm probably not getting shot by the wolves in favor of them hunting for other vigs and/or Doc....and I'm probably a PoE lynch candidate at that point.

 

Had I been playing from the start, you'd never be lynching me.  The little I've been able to play this game, however, should be reminiscent of the ME game.  I suggested caution and kept rethinking things - essentially slow-playing it 100% of the time.  I'm either misclearing somebody (which will make me sad), or you're stuck in a tunnel wanting me to be a wolf.  You've played enough with me to know my towntells.  Stop ignoring them.

 

I'm not seeing any towntells. As I stated previously your approach to hard clearing several obvious villagers with your entrance reminds me of you D1 in SW. You've countered this by saying you did the same in ME, which Talya has agreed with. Okay - so that's null then. Not a towntell though. Also - your other dialogue I don't think is alignment indicative. The stuff you discussed with Zander where you give him reasons why Talya is a villager could easily be done if you're a wolf.

 

On the wifom note - to be frank, if you had a shot you probably should've taken it. You were voting Rand at the EOD2 and after seeing Laine flip wolf you should've known that we'd be calling for your head soon enough. Your best bet was to shoot someone (like your scum suspect), pseudo vet yourself or in the best case scenario draw the NK and subsequently be cleared with your flip.

 

 

  On 7/10/2015 at 1:09 PM, Verbal32 said:

 

  On 7/10/2015 at 1:01 AM, Andrej said:

Phase should be ending within the hour btw.

 

Please, please stay focused to my villagers out there. Don't give the wolves any relief - you hold them under water and watch them flounder. No mercy for the enemy.

 

You said essentially the same thing to me yesterday when I wasn't sure about Rand.  I eventually went back there and voted, and now you're casing the hell out of me.  Do you see the disconnect?

 

The only disconnect that I am seeing is that you missed the pages of casing Shad and I did on Laine when she went from L-4 to L-2 before Rand voted her and then I hammered the next morning. Sure - you may have wavered in your read on Rand a bit, but apparently you ignored all of the other evidence we had presented on Laine because when you went back to Rand you pulled a singular quote of his to use as your point.

 

You went from Rand = wolf, to Rand = not so wolfy and ignoring evidence presented on the next lynch candidate who yourself pointed out looked wolfy, to back to Rand when you had the opportunity to hammer a now confirmed wolf.

 

 

  On 7/10/2015 at 1:09 PM, Verbal32 said:

The 2nd and 3rd posts there are a day apart.  With AJ suggesting we stay the course, and the pages in between those posts, it isn't that difficult to imagine me changing my mind about the order in which they should die.  I even voted Rand to complete the consistency there.  The only disconnect you can see if me thinking maybe Rand is a villager and Laine is the wolf instead of both wolves....but I went back to the original thought process (again, that AJ asked me to do), and voted Rand.

 

I'm not going to repeat this again.  Pay attention to the consistency and ignore the "mind-changing", which is certainly more indicative of a villager trying to see all angles than it is a wolf going for low hanging fruit.

 

I'm not sure why you continue to reiterate the point that I asked you to stay the course. I don't control you or who your vote, you can draw your own conclusions. It seems to me that you're trying to pass the buck for responsibility because you missed out on being on the lynch of a dead wolf.

 

Underlined: As I stated previously, the pages between your original statement to your vote were full of me and Shad hammering Laine for her wolfiness. I also quoted all of Rand's posts so that you could give more insight on where your mind changed. On the note of your consistency in going from Rand is a villager and Laine a wolf instead of both wolves and then back to Rand being a wolf (and by proxy Laine still being a wolf?) why wouldn't you vote Laine in that situation when she was in hammer range? If you still thought both could be wolves then voting the one that was going to be lynched would've been the proper play.

 

All of this really isn't adding up. You said yourself that one of your strongest towntells is being the voice of reason and frankly I'm not seeing it here. This all sounds like hogwash and you trying to play damage control.

 

 

  On 7/10/2015 at 7:05 PM, Verbal32 said:

 

  On 7/10/2015 at 2:15 PM, Andrej said:

I realize I add too many adverbs to my sentences.

 

Verb you don't essentially need to find two wolves. You do.

 

And Rand wasn't essentially begging us. He was.

 

No, we do.  We as in the collective village.  Stop trying to pin this on one person.

 

I am pinning it on you. The collective village has been working all game. The POE currently is you and Rand. You have backed away from your read of Rand to being back on the fence, but I don't see you presenting anyone else as a candidate.

 

If it's not you, and you're unsure Rand is one - then who? There's still two wolves at large and I don't see you doing any sort of hunting for them.

 

 

  On 7/10/2015 at 7:05 PM, Verbal32 said:

 

  On 7/10/2015 at 3:32 PM, Andrej said:

Regardless of how Rand flips Verb is still a wolf most likely.

 

Rand = wolf then we know he was lying as an excuse not to shoot Verb.

 

Rand = town then Verb still probably a wolf because of how he handled yesterday's EOD and voted Rand over a confirmed wolf.

 

Still wanna lynch Rand first though

 

You know better than this, AJ.

 

If Rand is a villager, then you need to entertain the thought that I was simply wrong.  I was leaning Rand early, started wavering, and then went back to the original thought.....WHICH YOU SUGGESTED THAT I DO.  Stop ignoring that and placing blame on me.  It makes you look silly.

 

If Rand is a wolf, then it doesn't matter which I voted, right?  It means I was right early on, incorrectly wavered, and then correctly voted a wolf (even though we lynched another one).

 

The only thing that looks silly is you continuing trying to point back to me telling you to stay the course when there were several more pages of development afterwards and a complete shift in the thread and vote count to who was getting lynched. You must've seen this because when you quoted Rand in the post you voted him for this was in the middle of the entire discussion.

 

Underlined: In a vacuum voting one wolf over the other when both wagons are scum would be okay. But in context to how D2 played out, it wasn't the proper one from a villager mindset. If you thought both could still be wolves, then voting for the one getting lynched was the right move over placing it on the one that wasn't. This aligns with Shad's theory of why Laine needed to be lynched first - which you advocated against and suggested instead that she should be vigged, in essence allowing her to potentially shoot again if her shot wasn't already spent before she died.

Posted
  On 7/11/2015 at 6:05 AM, Darthe said:

Every time I check this thread I want to respond to it like I'm playing.  Ya'll aren't incredibly chatty but good job keeping the content high.  I like a dense game.

You're dense :wub:

Posted
  On 7/11/2015 at 5:35 AM, Andrej said:

 

  On 7/10/2015 at 5:55 PM, RandA lThor said:

 

  On 7/10/2015 at 3:32 PM, Andrej said:

Regardless of how Rand flips Verb is still a wolf most likely.

Rand = wolf then we know he was lying as an excuse not to shoot Verb.

Rand = town then Verb still probably a wolf because of how he handled yesterday's EOD and voted Rand over a confirmed wolf.

Still wanna lynch Rand first though

 

 

Verb = town, Rand is most likely town because mafia wouldn't not shoot town for no reason

 

Verb = wolf then you can go from there, but at least only one more wolf left

 

Btw, working on the case right now

 

Not true. Even if Verb is town you could simply be lying about having a shot because you already fired it N1 when three townies were killed. The fact that you had to come up with a reason for this happening reinforces the idea.

 

Where's that case you were working on?

I agree with this. Also the bit about Verb not shooting.

 

Verb - who do you think is wolf, do you still think that Rand is still wolf, why aren't you voting him if that is the case. Tell me who you top reads are and why. You started off doing this and it did look ok, give us your reads and reasons.

 

Rand - where are those cases you were doing because I haven't seen much from you about it. I believe this has been asked many times

Posted

I think we have this in Verb/Rand but if we're wrong this is the best time for me to claim.

 

Hardclaim: Town doc (Ryan Fitzpatrick)

 

Assuming mafia still have a shot left and we're currently 6v2 then town have 3 mislynches/vig shots before mafia reach parity.

 

Claiming now removes the chance of them gambitting when they're closer to winning.

 

I think we have it, this is a just in case claim :)

Posted
  On 7/11/2015 at 6:50 AM, BFG said:

I think we have this in Verb/Rand but if we're wrong this is the best time for me to claim.

 

Hardclaim: Town doc (Ryan Fitzpatrick)

 

Assuming mafia still have a shot left and we're currently 6v2 then town have 3 mislynches/vig shots before mafia reach parity.

 

Claiming now removes the chance of them gambitting when they're closer to winning.

 

I think we have it, this is a just in case claim :)

 

:wub:

Posted

People always tinfoil on me when I'm town :sad: I think I need to work out what I do as mafia that makes people town read me then :unsure:

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