[Advanced] Star Wars Mafia

[csarmi]

1 - (7/9)³ ≈ 0.529

 

1 - (13/18)³ ≈ 0.623

1 - (13/18)*(12/17)*(11/16) actually, but not a bad approximation (no wolf in group of 3 = 1 - FirstIsVilla*SecondIsVilla*ThirdIsVilla)

[WWWwombat]

 

1 - (7/9)³ ≈ 0.529

 

1 - (13/18)³ ≈ 0.623

1 - (13/18)*(12/17)*(11/16) actually, but not a bad approximation (no wolf in group of 3 = 1 - FirstIsVilla*SecondIsVilla*ThirdIsVilla)

 

 

I was doing 1 or more though, so replaced the marble.

[Andrej]

Lucky for you guys I have tonight and the weekend to get fully caught up. Been meaning to do this for days but my new schedule is killer. I have been chatting with Wombat in our QT whenever I get a break and can speed read.

 

You guys did good finding the first wolf. I'll now find the others.

[WWWwombat]

My combinatorics are a bit rusty though.

[WWWwombat]

Also, love how you knew exactly what that was, Csarmi <3

[Andrej]

Wolves read the thread too and can pool their collective thoughts together into a pool so it doesn't matter imo. Consider it an honor to be killed off because you have become unlynchable.

[WWWwombat]

WomboCombo always unlynchable tho :(

[alannalynn]

 

Do we talk about who we think is clear at night?  Serious question.  I don't want to paint nk targets on people.

 

I say no, but people don't listen to me and do it anyways.

I figure I'll post whatever the hell I want, I'm actually just gonna catch up on the thread in relation to my lynch train. Since I literally didn't get to keep up with any of it

[csarmi]

Meh. Durin probably a villager - I don't see why they would have to push their own godfather in a votespread situation: it's not like they were locked in that stance; on the contrary.

 

Will keep on reading, p81.

[seph]

I will wait for night to end before I post some thought but that flip gave a ton of info.

I also feel like the votes on leelou could be purely village and that would be pretty astounding.

 

Also shad sorry I misread you all day 1 man...

[csarmi]

Lucky for you guys I have tonight and the weekend to get fully caught up. Been meaning to do this for days but my new schedule is killer. I have been chatting with Wombat in our QT whenever I get a break and can speed read.

 

You guys did good finding the first wolf. I'll now find the others.

Oh cool thanks. Does that mean I can go back to playing WoW now then?

[Andrej]

WomboCombo always unlynchable tho :(

Such is the GOAT

[Andrej]

 

Lucky for you guys I have tonight and the weekend to get fully caught up. Been meaning to do this for days but my new schedule is killer. I have been chatting with Wombat in our QT whenever I get a break and can speed read.

 

You guys did good finding the first wolf. I'll now find the others.

Oh cool thanks. Does that mean I can go back to playing WoW now then?

Probably. Still think you were spewing nonsense earlier but whatever

[WWWwombat]

 

WomboCombo always unlynchable tho :(

Such is the GOAT

 

 

Blessing and a curse.  The weight of this mantle would break frailer souls.

[seph]

Aj I <3 you bro.

[Sili Quirrels]

So basically you're faking it until you make it? What a wonderful way to live your life

 

Partly to fill the gaping hole in me left after I defended leelou post-flip.

[Shad_]

 

 

[v]Laine[/v]

 

Based on your last few posts I did not expect this.

 

 

i'll explain tomorrow.

 

 

Sili, want to go over this now or wait until D2?

[Sili Quirrels]

Besides, it's a poe box. It's a thing you make when you're reasonably confident you can clear the majority of players. But it's not skill or anything clever, it's just a thing to direct the process.

[Sili Quirrels]

 

 

 

[v]Laine[/v]

 

Based on your last few posts I did not expect this.

 

 

i'll explain tomorrow.

 

 

Sili, want to go over this now or wait until D2?

 

already did.

[alannalynn]

 

So basically you're faking it until you make it? What a wonderful way to live your life

 

Partly to fill the gaping hole in me left after I defended leelou post-flip.

 

Sounds like a personal problem

[Sili Quirrels]

instead of finding it i'll elaborate.

 

i voted laine because i had no feelings in regards to leelou, darthe was getting anxious (i don't tend to trust anyone demanding a cfd minutes before the lynch without seeing good logic), and laine was acting a little sketchy in her posts just then. plus, verbal, who i trust in these matters read leelou town.

[Sili Quirrels]

 

 

So basically you're faking it until you make it? What a wonderful way to live your life

 

Partly to fill the gaping hole in me left after I defended leelou post-flip.

 

Sounds like a personal problem

 

i'm depressed okay.  that flip hit me hard.

[Shad_]

I found it, all good.  Was hoping for something more exciting but hey.

 

Thaneballs32 was my second scum target before the madness and this flip makes him look pretty bad.  Something to think about.

[seph]

Then I expect extra hunting if you are town sili!

[Sili Quirrels]

I found it, all good.  Was hoping for something more exciting but hey.

 

Thaneballs32 was my second scum target before the madness and this flip makes him look pretty bad.  Something to think about.

ya, well, partial truths and all that. i hope your sufficiency was suffonsified at least.