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About WWWwombat

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  • Birthday April 15

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  1. "Stare decisis is not part of my originalist philosophy; it is a pragmatic exception to it." -Antonin Scalia
  2. True, and originalists are less likely to care about precedent, but it seems to me that this Chief Justice cares a lot about legacy.
  3. The administration's refusal to comply with congressional subpoenas makes it more likely, but if I had to guess I'd say it's not happening soon despite all the rhetoric. Mueller resigning seems like a big deal at first glance but I doubt it will have much of a direct impact. He basically put the ball in Congress' court but that's already where it was. I think the House will continue to go down the avenue of investigating without impeaching for a while. President Trump will continue to do all that he can to defy congressional oversight. At some point we may reach a limit to what Congress can do without beginning impeachment proceedings and that's when things could get interesting. All that being said, that's just my best guess and I'm very unsure as to how this will actually play out, hence my question.
  4. It definitely dies in the Senate, but I'm not sure how long Pelosi can keep the caucus in line. I'm inclined to agree with you about it helping his re-election bid at this point, but that could change depending on how things play out.
  5. Seems to me like when you're up against both stare decisis and public opinion it might be prudent to slow your roll.
  6. Seems like a mischaracterization of the stance common to many Americans (a majority by most polls) that Roe v. Wade should stand as is.
  7. Over/under on Articles of Impeachment?
  8. Seems to me that an exclusive/monogamous relationship would reasonably (unless otherwise specified) imply that such material would remain private. Also, correct me if I'm wrong Cubarey, but who takes the video/pics would also make a big difference.
  9. That's what books and articles are for. The land distribution in South Africa is currently not equitable with most of the land being held by whites. This is a legacy of colonialism and apartheid. Land reform has been an objective of the South African government for a long time, but the way they have been going about it so far is not working as it is going too slowly. So they're trying to speed it up by expropriating without compensation, and that's where the controversy comes in because some people see that as opening the door to a Zimbabwe-type situation. Finding a way to implement land reform that is both effective and just is going to be difficult.
  10. So view it from a different perspective?
  11. There are already a bunch of municipalities that use single transferable vote to some degree, including the Twin Cities. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Single_transferable_vote#Governments_with_STV I think you overestimate the unity of the two major political parties. There are any number of factions on both the left and right that might benefit from more proportional voting methods. I'm not saying it would be easy, but to paraphrase what Nolder said, you have a far better chance of changing the rules through the political process than you do of getting large amounts of people to adopt voting strategies that are obviously sub-optimal under the current rules. If you want people to take 24-foot jump-shots, you don't just talk about it, you make them worth 3 points. As for the 5% threshold, I don't see it as particularly significant these days given that campaign finance is drastically different from what it was a decade ago, but whatever floats your boat. Ultimately, I don't care if people vote for 3rd party candidates or not, but to rail at pragmatism as somehow being defeatist is ridiculous.
  12. I would say that voting for someone you know isn't going to win is far more defeatist than picking the least bad of two options. You also have the cart before the horse on the changing the game thing. You don't get large amounts of people to do something by telling them they should, you get them to do it by giving them an incentive. In this case, the best first step would be to adopt more representative forms of voting at the state and local levels whether that's STV or quadratic voting or something else. You don't start a grassroots movement at the top.
  13. It was a broad generalization and almost certainly incorrect. Given stereotypes about Jewish lawyers that Cubarey has somewhat alluded to, someone who didn't know better might have taken it the wrong way.
  14. IIRC, it's a common but variant spelling, but seeing as the English drop their R's and often pronounce A's with the tongue towards front of the mouth, the pronunciation ends up being about the same. Don't know about Scots/Irish as they tend not to drop their R's. Maybe someone from the British Isles can weigh in.
  15. When you live in diaspora and aren't allowed to acquire land or social status for hundreds of years, your society tends to place a high value on education. There's also a big difference between over-represented and "most." There are over 10 million people in Los Angeles County; Nolder might wanna check himself before he says something irreparable.
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