It's poker night at Dragonmount - Bring your "A" game. Game Over, Scum win!

[Niniel]

Cloud gave up on that Hallia/Tsuki connection way too fast. I mostly followed him to quickstart the game (which should be obvious) but Cloud gave up too quick to get much information. I also noted that he found my mention of Hallia/Tsuki trying to just joke about it interesting but still he unvoted. I will keep my eyes on you three. 

 

Mish came out looking worse though. She still hasn´t answered who of us where town on town. It was a quick standard comment that she just threw out without thinking. Or to look active. 

 

Unvote. Vote Mish

[_CLOUD]

 

Your math is bad, as statistics make it extremely clear that the same event has it's odds dramatically decreased for occurring in such a sequence.

[..]

No it doesn't. The odds don't change, if the events are independent.

 

If we go by statistics, however, you're scum more than 1/4 of the time (so far) so voting you is a clear profit.

 

 

See, speedlynching Tsuki totally makes sense :P

[Niniel]

Speedlynching anyone right now doesn´t make sense. 

[_CLOUD]

Cloud gave up on that Hallia/Tsuki connection way too fast. I mostly followed him to quickstart the game (which should be obvious) but Cloud gave up too quick to get much information. I also noted that he found my mention of Hallia/Tsuki trying to just joke about it interesting but still he unvoted. I will keep my eyes on you three. 

 

Mish came out looking worse though. She still hasn´t answered who of us where town on town. It was a quick standard comment that she just threw out without thinking. Or to look active. 

 

Unvote. Vote Mish

 

I'm voting for Tsuki now. I'm not following after Hallia because I feel like I always end up casing her in every game that we are in together, and most of the time she flips town. I'm going to wait for some better clues this time before voting for her.

[lolguy26]

Speedlynching anyone right now doesn´t make sense. 

 

i think its done for teh lulz not for logical reasons 

[_CLOUD]

Wanna bet that it makes sense? Killing him will give tons of info.

[Tsukibana]

 

Your math is bad, as statistics make it extremely clear that the same event has it's odds dramatically decreased for occurring in such a sequence.

[..]

No it doesn't. The odds don't change, if the events are independent.

 

If we go by statistics, however, you're scum more than 1/4 of the time (so far) so voting you is a clear profit.

 

Hah. so you DO know some math... However, past history indicates I am scum 100% of the time, so bet big, and lose your shirt.

Also, the odds DO change, as the number of players in each game have not been constant, therefore changing the odds that any given player is scum.

 

Also, why so inactive?

[Tsukibana]

 

Cloud gave up on that Hallia/Tsuki connection way too fast. I mostly followed him to quickstart the game (which should be obvious) but Cloud gave up too quick to get much information. I also noted that he found my mention of Hallia/Tsuki trying to just joke about it interesting but still he unvoted. I will keep my eyes on you three. 

 

Mish came out looking worse though. She still hasn´t answered who of us where town on town. It was a quick standard comment that she just threw out without thinking. Or to look active. 

 

Unvote. Vote Mish

 

I'm voting for Tsuki now. I'm not following after Hallia because I feel like I always end up casing her in every game that we are in together, and most of the time she flips town. I'm going to wait for some better clues this time before voting for her.

 

Really?!?! REALLY?!?! Like you didn't JUST start a day one tunnel on me in the last game.

[Niniel]

Wanna bet that it makes sense? Killing him will give tons of info.

 

What kind of info? I´m not against the vote on Tsuki but why the speedlynch. 

[Hallia]

I'm against speedlynching him D1.  He hasn't had a chance to play, and Csarmi said the odds of him being mafia are high because he was in the last 2 game? It's random, they have no bearing on each other, so I think that's rather opportunistic.

 

Unvote

Vote Csarmi

[_CLOUD]

 

 

Cloud gave up on that Hallia/Tsuki connection way too fast. I mostly followed him to quickstart the game (which should be obvious) but Cloud gave up too quick to get much information. I also noted that he found my mention of Hallia/Tsuki trying to just joke about it interesting but still he unvoted. I will keep my eyes on you three. 

 

Mish came out looking worse though. She still hasn´t answered who of us where town on town. It was a quick standard comment that she just threw out without thinking. Or to look active. 

 

Unvote. Vote Mish

 

I'm voting for Tsuki now. I'm not following after Hallia because I feel like I always end up casing her in every game that we are in together, and most of the time she flips town. I'm going to wait for some better clues this time before voting for her.

 

Really?!?! REALLY?!?! Like you didn't JUST start a day one tunnel on me in the last game.

 

 

Hey, you were mafia in our last game so I was right after all  

 

 

 

Wanna bet that it makes sense? Killing him will give tons of info.

 

What kind of info? I´m not against the vote on Tsuki but why the speedlynch. 

 

 

What better way to apply some pressure? Tsuki is still a new mafia player and judging his play from the last game we can easily see his allignment if we keep stacking those votes on him.

[Niniel]

Wanna bet that it makes sense? Killing him will give tons of info.

 

So tons of info is to see how Tsuki reacts? First, what will those reactions be when you announce it this way? And what kind of reactions where you waiting for? 

[_CLOUD]

I had to announce it this way because you kept asking questions. If you just followed along we might have been further along by now

 

But seriously we wouldn't only get info from Tsuki's reactions, but also from everyone else.

[csarmi]

Csarmis a high roller lol

I'm a mathematician.

[csarmi]

Info, info, info.

 

Hey Cloud, let's get this rolling again, just like last game.

 

I've learnt a few tricks on JN maffia by the way, here's one:

 

Hally, are you town?

[Hallia]

Yes.

[_CLOUD]

Well, that settles it I guess.

[Tsukibana]

LOL

[WolfbrotherKronos]

Cloud are you town

[鲍勃不是我的名字]

 

Have we settled anyone yet?  I need blood in the water to solve this equation.

 

how about CS?

 

 

I'm game.

 

Unvote, vote: csarmi

[_CLOUD]

Yup. 

 

 

Tsuki, are you town?

[WolfbrotherKronos]

Vote needs to be red

[_CLOUD]

Not Bob, why CS but not Tsuki?

[WolfbrotherKronos]

Yeah don't actually know what this will accomplish

[_CLOUD]

 

Csarmis a high roller lol

I'm a magician.

 

 

I think it might be some kind of trick that will reveal scum?