Jump to content

DRAGONMOUNT

A WHEEL OF TIME COMMUNITY

[Standard] The Matrix Reloaded - Game Over


Nolder

Recommended Posts

Posted
  On 11/6/2015 at 6:30 PM, Yates said:

 

  On 11/6/2015 at 6:29 PM, cory caboose said:

Detecting some rustle

Me too.

 

 

I don't like absolutes like that, especially based on "Well x thought they were town sooooo..." Think it's poor play. It's like me saying "Ok, that's it. Cory said Lenlo is scum. I am not voting anyone else until he is dead. He will always be my number one scum suspect till he is dead."

  • Replies 4.9k
  • Created
  • Last Reply
Posted

I'm going to call this the Town core:

 

Yates

Corlanna

Zander

Shad

 

Anybody up for inviting Sili in? I feel okay inviting Sili in if he can get over his Corlanna read.

Posted

There is no situation where we are not lynching [v]Lenlo[/v] today and I'm not going to be on to conk you lot over your thick skulls so let's just get on with it now.

Posted

Ok so Shad thinks Me, RTE, Tab and Yates are scum.

I think Zander, Corlanna, Tab and Hallia are scum.

Yates thinks Corlanna, Zander, Shad and maybe Sili are town.

 

Great.

Posted
  On 11/6/2015 at 6:36 PM, Shad_ said:

 

  On 11/6/2015 at 4:30 PM, Taborline said:

 

  On 11/6/2015 at 4:06 PM, Shad_ said:

 

  On 11/6/2015 at 2:39 PM, Taborline said:

 

  On 11/6/2015 at 2:36 PM, cory caboose said:

 

  On 11/6/2015 at 8:41 AM, Sili Quirrels said:

Her hammer is too obviously wolfy to be agenda driven. Dont fall into that trap...

Entirely dependent on whether or not Lenlo is a wolf

 

 

This is what makes me think we should be trying to look elsewhere right now? Lenlo's resolution would give us a LOT of help, I think, but we can't afford to lose more town players.

 

 

What are you suggesting here?

 

 

 

I wonder if Lenlo is being pushed through as a town player, and am worried that other reads are too dependent on his flip. If he IS town, we aren't really in a position to lose him for that sake as we've lost too many town already.

 

 

Cool that's four.

 

 

Scum for wanting to be cautious about losing town players?

Posted
  On 11/6/2015 at 6:39 PM, Taborline said:

 

  On 11/6/2015 at 6:36 PM, Shad_ said:

 

  On 11/6/2015 at 4:30 PM, Taborline said:

 

  On 11/6/2015 at 4:06 PM, Shad_ said:

 

  On 11/6/2015 at 2:39 PM, Taborline said:

 

  On 11/6/2015 at 2:36 PM, cory caboose said:

 

  On 11/6/2015 at 8:41 AM, Sili Quirrels said:

Her hammer is too obviously wolfy to be agenda driven. Dont fall into that trap...

Entirely dependent on whether or not Lenlo is a wolf

 

 

This is what makes me think we should be trying to look elsewhere right now? Lenlo's resolution would give us a LOT of help, I think, but we can't afford to lose more town players.

 

 

What are you suggesting here?

 

 

 

I wonder if Lenlo is being pushed through as a town player, and am worried that other reads are too dependent on his flip. If he IS town, we aren't really in a position to lose him for that sake as we've lost too many town already.

 

 

Cool that's four.

 

 

Scum for wanting to be cautious about losing town players?

 

 

Your entire reason for copping out of lynching the scummiest player in this game is "anyone could be town.

Posted
  On 11/6/2015 at 6:37 PM, ReleaseTheEvil said:

I don't like absolutes like that, especially based on "Well x thought they were town sooooo..." Think it's poor play. It's like me saying "Ok, that's it. Cory said Lenlo is scum. I am not voting anyone else until he is dead. He will always be my number one scum suspect till he is dead."

If I were scum? I wouldn't like Town being correctly cleared for reasons I don't appreciate/understand either. So I feel you, RTE.
Posted

Town to Scummy for me would be 

 

RTE

Zander

Sili

Shad

 

Followed by

Dice

Tabor

Thane

 

And then we have

 

Yates

Corlanna

Lenlo

Hallia 

Posted
  On 11/6/2015 at 6:38 PM, Lenlo said:

Ok so Shad thinks Me, RTE, Tab and Yates are scum.

I think Zander, Corlanna, Tab and Hallia are scum.

Yates thinks Corlanna, Zander, Shad and maybe Sili are town.

 

Great.

Yup.

 

Which conveniently leaves Tab, Hally, Lenlo, and RTE.

Posted

OMG RTE!

 

  Reveal hidden contents

 

LMAO. Yeah, RTE just scum claimed and I don't think he even realizes it...

Posted
  On 11/6/2015 at 6:40 PM, Yates said:

 

  On 11/6/2015 at 6:37 PM, ReleaseTheEvil said:

I don't like absolutes like that, especially based on "Well x thought they were town sooooo..." Think it's poor play. It's like me saying "Ok, that's it. Cory said Lenlo is scum. I am not voting anyone else until he is dead. He will always be my number one scum suspect till he is dead."

If I were scum? I wouldn't like Town being correctly cleared for reasons I don't appreciate/understand either. So I feel you, RTE.

 

 

How can you say he's correctly cleared though? Fair enough that you and Cory have played a lot together. Of the remaining players I would believe that you can read him best (or Alanna were she not already hyra-ing), but your clearing him is completely reliant on Clov. Clov is good but he isn't infallible. Do you trust Clov's read 100% then? Appears that way anyhow. I would be much more interested in who Clov was suspicious of than who Clov read as town. I guess question two would be how confident are you that Clov would bodyguard Cory over anyone else?

Posted
  On 11/6/2015 at 6:42 PM, Yates said:

OMG RTE!

 

  Reveal hidden contents

 

LMAO. Yeah, RTE just scum claimed and I don't think he even realizes it...

 

 

Huh? 

Posted
  On 11/6/2015 at 4:30 PM, ReleaseTheEvil said:

 

  On 11/6/2015 at 4:29 PM, cory caboose said:

Lynching for info?

 

I've seen Lenlo described by someone as an info Lynch. Which I'm now understanding a bit more as it may shed more light on EoD votes and hammers

 

 

 

  On 11/3/2015 at 5:51 AM, Shad_ said:

Alright, my Lenlo notes for the bored and curious:

 

 

  Reveal hidden contents

 

 

 

  On 11/3/2015 at 5:52 AM, Shad_ said:

And what I take from it:

 

Lenlo's game is pretty jam packed with double standards and selective memory. He does a lot of the things that he criticizes his scum reads for, and he gives his town reads a pass for the same. I don't see any sort of consistant thought process for how he makes his reads on D1, and he seems to overlook the posts that I would expect to have the most impact on them.

 

Thane's name could have been picked out of a hat to go into the scum pile. Rack earns one of his five townish slots, yet his explanation for the read is all negative points. Sooh and Zander remain his scum reads from page 14 clear to the present and in both cases I feel like Lenlo makes zero effort to try and adapt to new information. Any time Zander does the sort of things Lenlo is criticizing him for never doing, Lenlo just sort of ignores it and insists that town is all just being duped by his charming personality into letting him fly by with zero content. Thane moves up to a (town? null? doesn't exist?) read after a discussion which, to me at least, only clears Thane on meta that Lenlo doesn't possess. He barely even mentions Sooh again all day despite keeping her firmly at the bottom of the barrel.

 

Meanwhile, Rack sees a slow and steady drop from town to scum for his persistant lack of content, and fair enough there, but when Rack starts actually providing some content Lenlo shows little interest in engaging him. His reasoning for actually voting Rack and sticking to it is bewildering. He characterizes Rack's case on Zander as a failed push attempt, but how does that make any sense coming from someone who is 99% certain that Zander is scum?

 

And to top it all off, when Rack asks if he should vig Sooh (who Lenlo is scum reading) or Pral (who Lenlo was null on and who shares his opinion on Zander), he's fine with either. I think it's pretty interesting that Lenlo is totally cool with killing the only two players in the game who share his opinion on Zander.

 

I can see where a pretty simple scum objective fits the picture here: Scum!Lenlo locks in his pushes early and realizes that two of the three of them are quickly becoming consensus town. He doesn't want to be caught in two controversial reads, but he doesn't want to be seen as backpeddling either, so he gives one a pass for shallow reasons and tunnels the heck out of the other. Meanwhile, since his third scum read is getting a lot of negative attention, he can conveniently just ignore her altogether. For Rack, since he'd given him a TMI town read, he takes care to repeatedly mention that Rack is slipping down his POE into the scum pile due to lack of content. When Rack starts providing a bit of content, Lenlo sits back and lets town do the damage, then votes for the consensus reason. But he makes a bit of a slip out of character, because the reason implies that Lenlo is willing to consider that Zander might be town.

 

Then there's the post-flip 'theory'. Lenlo shows up with an idea that isn't bad in theory: if Sooh is scum, then the scum team may have pushed against the grain to prevent conditions which could kill her. It's not a bad idea at all, really: scum come out with two town dead, pro-town cred for bailing on a mislynch, and their full team intact. So I looked into it, saw that in practice it didn't quite work, and explained this to Lenlo. Instead of adapting or letting go, he sort of ignored it and pressed on expanding his theory with the original principles intact. He continues to insist that a Sooh scum flip incriminates Zander because Zander led a wagon on Lenlo to bail her out, but Zander had voted days before this was a possibility. The scum "team" was involved, but Sooh herself avoided Lenlo's train, and Lenlo is town reading me, so that only leaves Cory. Lenlo has avoided rethinking the situation in light of this.

 

Instead, he has pressed the theory further. He added that Sooh took the gamble of possibly being vigged because if Pral ate the bullet instead it would guarantee Lenlo's mislynch today. This makes no sense, and he didn't elaborate. He said that a scum flip on Sooh confirms BFG town and vice versa, but again this makes no sense. When Clov correctly observed that by Lenlo's reasoning scum!Sooh should incriminate scum!BFG, Lenlo argued against it because BFG didn't vote him. But at least one scum besides Sooh necessarily didn't vote him, and if scum were plotting his D2 mislynch all along, what could be more obvious towards that end than BFG popping in after the hammer to say she'd have lynched Lenlo? Lenlo gave a wishywash response that if BFG had been seriously pushing him she'd have spoken with more conviction, and he stuck to his theory. He also added that Cory and Hallia were likely w/v, which isn't a terrible observation by itself but interesting to keep in mind.

 

Again it's easy to see all of this from a scum angle. Scum!Lenlo took some D1 flack for tunnel vision, so he came up with a perfect excuse to put on the appearance of having a sound, robust theory to pursue. D2 is all about looking like he's trying to solve while pushing an agenda, and he accomplished that briefly. But he didn't want to let go of the good thing he had going when flaws were noted, so he ignored them, pressed on, and pursued apparent effort+opportunity by setting up a few w/v scenarios. Now when one of Cory/Hallia flips town he can push a lynch on the other. When one of Sooh/BFG flips town he can push a lynch on the other. And it all ties back into this grand "pro-town" master plan that proves to us all that he's trying hard to solve this game.

 

I think he's scum. And I think that if he flips scum there's a reasonable chance he's spewing team mates, because his "theory" from a scum angle makes the most sense if Sooh is a bus. She goes down, he thinks we'll assume it spews Lenlo and BFG clear town. He goes down, he thinks we'll assume it spews Sooh clear town. Would be my guess--not a bad trade in his mind when scum were up for a lunch today anyway.  The "gamble" scum!Sooh would have been taking at D1 EoD doesn't actually exist if Lenlo was scum too.  But we can start by lynching him and measure Sooh and BFG on their own merits.  Bussing is just a possibility to keep in mind post-flip.

 

[v]Lenlo[/v]

RTFM

Posted
  On 11/6/2015 at 6:43 PM, Lenlo said:

Wheres the scum claim in that? Its Town to Scum, and hes at the top?

 

  On 11/6/2015 at 6:40 PM, Shad_ said:

 

  On 11/6/2015 at 6:39 PM, Taborline said:

 

  On 11/6/2015 at 6:36 PM, Shad_ said:

 

  On 11/6/2015 at 4:30 PM, Taborline said:

 

  On 11/6/2015 at 4:06 PM, Shad_ said:

 

  On 11/6/2015 at 2:39 PM, Taborline said:

 

  On 11/6/2015 at 2:36 PM, cory caboose said:

 

  On 11/6/2015 at 8:41 AM, Sili Quirrels said:

Her hammer is too obviously wolfy to be agenda driven. Dont fall into that trap...

Entirely dependent on whether or not Lenlo is a wolf

 

 

This is what makes me think we should be trying to look elsewhere right now? Lenlo's resolution would give us a LOT of help, I think, but we can't afford to lose more town players.

 

 

What are you suggesting here?

 

 

 

I wonder if Lenlo is being pushed through as a town player, and am worried that other reads are too dependent on his flip. If he IS town, we aren't really in a position to lose him for that sake as we've lost too many town already.

 

 

Cool that's four.

 

 

Scum for wanting to be cautious about losing town players?

 

 

Your entire reason for copping out of lynching the scummiest player in this game is "anyone could be town.

 

 

I am TOO cautious of a player, it would seem.

Posted
  On 11/6/2015 at 6:43 PM, ReleaseTheEvil said:

I guess question two would be how confident are you that Clov would bodyguard Cory over anyone else?

I read the last few pages of his ISO so... pretty sure?
Posted
  On 11/6/2015 at 6:47 PM, Shad_ said:

I am also ashamed of all of you for not questioning Sili's posts towards the start of this day.

Too tired.

Did not read.

Posted
  On 11/6/2015 at 3:10 PM, cory caboose said:

Maybe I'm wrong on dice. I'm almost at the Nomi conversation but I've literally never seen dice talk to someone like that as a wolf before. But maybe he's getting better.

I did see some progress in his wolf game recently, think it was British Monarchy but don't remember, was speccing

 

 

i thought Nomi came out looking much the better and Dice much worse from that exchange.

Posted
  On 11/6/2015 at 6:46 PM, Yates said:

 

  On 11/6/2015 at 6:43 PM, ReleaseTheEvil said:

I guess question two would be how confident are you that Clov would bodyguard Cory over anyone else?

I read the last few pages of his ISO so... pretty sure?

 

 

Bodyguard guards one every night and can't guard himself presumably? Still doesn't mean Clov wasn't targeted directly. IMO more likely that Mafia kills Clov over Cory 9 times out of 10. 

Posted
  On 11/6/2015 at 6:46 PM, Yates said:

 

  On 11/6/2015 at 6:43 PM, ReleaseTheEvil said:

I guess question two would be how confident are you that Clov would bodyguard Cory over anyone else?

I read the last few pages of his ISO so... pretty sure?

 

I think Clov BG'd me. Not going to say why and could be wrong. Ask me after the game if you're curious.

Posted
  On 11/6/2015 at 6:49 PM, ReleaseTheEvil said:

Bodyguard guards one every night and can't guard himself presumably?

LOL - if a bodyguard guards himself he dies in place of himself. Infinite death loop?

 

  On 11/6/2015 at 6:49 PM, ReleaseTheEvil said:

Still doesn't mean Clov wasn't targeted directly. IMO more likely that Mafia kills Clov over Cory 9 times out of 10.

Why 9/10? I agree that Clov was the likely target and I know my reasons. But what are yours?

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

×
×
  • Create New...