Frozen Mafia Game Thread--GAME OVER--MAFIA WIN

[Sooh]

Sili? Did you get a N0 townie read?

[Thane Vakarian]

@dice: i explain it more closely here: http://www.dragonmount.com/forums/topic/95520-frozen-mafia-game-thread-day-2/?p=3549256

[Sooh]

Also if you want me to be here more you need to not have EOD at 1, almost 2am and then subsequently post 13 pages before I have the chance to get up

 

I'm going to work now.

[Sili Quirrels]

what is missing is that sili MAY be running a gambit.

 

him claiming like that is -EV for a cop. He is unlikely to be a NK before the claim. He had people say they wouldnt lynch him today.

 

 

you know what this makes no sense

 

unvote

 

 

here's some context.

 

1. i suspect there's a gf.

2. there's only one wolf left.

3. my only objective is to solve the game.

 

and finally, i can't fake claim tracker, admit to be lying about it, and not expect to be lynched by you and Zander and shad, and hallia, and aj was doubting me too. all of whom ~ prob town.

[Sili Quirrels]

Sili? Did you get a N0 townie read?

was there an n0?

 

no fwiw.

[dicetosser1]

Thane if you are an IC that is a role where a mod posts a specific post announcing that x is IC   

 

 

putting it in the write up doesnt really work when u consider how much mods stress write ups are flavor

[Thane Vakarian]

dice: i'll run with Sili right now. Numbers are in favor of town so we can afford a mislynch if he's lying. We nailed a wolf D1, which was excellent.

 

two scenarios here:

 

Sili tells the truth: GREAT! one less wolf. we have one wolf to go D3 with 8vs1 odds.

 

Sili lies: D3, we lynch Sili. 6vs1 odds when entering D4

[dicetosser1]

 

what is missing is that sili MAY be running a gambit.

 

him claiming like that is -EV for a cop. He is unlikely to be a NK before the claim. He had people say they wouldnt lynch him today.

 

 

you know what this makes no sense

 

unvote

 

 

here's some context.

 

1. i suspect there's a gf.

2. there's only one wolf left.

3. my only objective is to solve the game.

 

and finally, i can't fake claim tracker, admit to be lying about it, and not expect to be lynched by you and Zander and shad, and hallia, and aj was doubting me too. all of whom ~ prob town.

 

 

ok   but be warned  he DOESNT flip mafia you may as well not post tomorrow

 

 

vote csarmi

[Sili Quirrels]

eh. gn, cya in the morning.

 

i am going to reconsider hallia tomorrow to double check my conclusion.

 

aj, you know salami better than i. even if thane ain't an IC, is it likely salami accidentally treated him like the town he was when he came into the game?

[Zander?]

....i dont know i dont know

[Sili Quirrels]

 

 

what is missing is that sili MAY be running a gambit.

 

him claiming like that is -EV for a cop. He is unlikely to be a NK before the claim. He had people say they wouldnt lynch him today.

 

 

you know what this makes no sense

 

unvote

 

 

here's some context.

 

1. i suspect there's a gf.

2. there's only one wolf left.

3. my only objective is to solve the game.

 

and finally, i can't fake claim tracker, admit to be lying about it, and not expect to be lynched by you and Zander and shad, and hallia, and aj was doubting me too. all of whom ~ prob town.

 

 

ok   but be warned  he DOESNT flip mafia you may as well not post tomorrow

 

 

vote csarmi

 

he will.

[Zander?]

heres my take on it:

 

Sili tells the truth and is the NK...like lets say 90% of the time....lolololololol so 1 4 1 basically

 

sili is lying.  we lunch csarmi. and lose another town to NK.  so 2 for 1 .

 

am i missing something?

[Andrej]

I agree with what Thane says. We're up already even with the Doc dead so we can afford to test the claim.

 

I also can see from Sili's POV that claiming a guilty with one wolf dead isn't really the worst idea. I don't like the funny stuff either but if he's for real and caught a wolf then awesome. All I care about is killing the bad guys.

[Thane Vakarian]

heres my take on it:

 

Sili tells the truth and is the NK...like lets say 90% of the time....lolololololol so 1 4 1 basically

 

sili is lying.  we lunch csarmi. and lose another town to NK.  so 2 for 1 .

 

am i missing something?

dice: i'll run with Sili right now. Numbers are in favor of town so we can afford a mislynch if he's lying. We nailed a wolf D1, which was excellent.

 

two scenarios here:

 

Sili tells the truth: GREAT! one less wolf. we have one wolf to go D3 with 8vs1 odds.

 

Sili lies: D3, we lynch Sili. 6vs1 odds when entering D4

i hope my math is correct here.... 

[Thane Vakarian]

if i counted correctly, Csarmi has 4 votes. 

 

This could be one of the shortest days ever.

 

Zander, get your butt here and make it 5

 

wolfy wolf has to go

[Andrej]

Thane I would still like you to confirm if you can.

 

@Dice - I get what you're saying but I just can't see Heart soft balling a claim in for (potentially) mafia to take advantage of

[dicetosser1]

What do you think about the Hally claim AJ?

[Thane Vakarian]

@AJ & Dice: i am not IC. I am modconfirmed Town though. I agree that this must look weird, and i didn't expect it to happen either. It's the first time i see something like this happening. I don't mind though, it's one player less to examine and we can focus on the real baddies. In this scenario having another confirmed townie is a good thing. 

 

Trust the mod, and trust me. 

[Andrej]

It's plausible. I don't like her reason for picking him that much fwiw.

 

He doesn't make sense as a mafia target imo so I'm guessing he probably stuffed their kill on someone else. It's wifom but I'm not sure why scumHallia claims the kill in that scenario

 

If we have a Doc, Cop and IC she could fit as a 1x.

[Andrej]

 

This is weird.

[Zander?]

 

This is weird.

 

yes very much so

[Thane Vakarian]

 

This is weird.

i totally agree. 

 

But, i'll just say it now: we should stick to the plan concerning Csarmawolf and Sili. Perhaps we can resolve the third wolf slot through NA's (investigate or lucky vig). I'm here to wreck wolves. And if we can lynch wolves 2 consecutive days early game, that would make me a .... happy snowman

[Andrej]

Either way I still think we vet Sili toDay.

 

There's no reason not to lynch a claimed guilty peek

[Andrej]

Lol Thane.

 

Would you say it makes you wanna... Build one?

[dicetosser1]

this game seems very stacked