[Basic/Standard] A Wind in the Door Mafia - GAME OVER, TOWN WINS

[monstrman]

 

 

i was in the phase of writing my analysis but i will post what ever i have now anyway....

 

@ corry and Yates stand off:

apart from references that i didnt understand (VT game, Krak game, POG, VS, discoworld, Des reference, doc who, Firefly) throughout the standoff cory was pushing yates for lynch. i thought yates didnt crack under pressure. for which i leaned town on both corry and yates. until yates reveled his role. which i believe is the truth. 

something interesting happened tough in between.... which cory was building momentum for yate lynch and trying to convince others to join in. jmm and manbat casually also started suspecting yates over things that i thought were very innocent. potentially making grounds for there lynch vote on yates look legit later on. 

 

after yates revealed his character. manbat changed his vote for sili... while i would think he would have voted for leno, jmm, Pral or Yates, based on his suspicion list.. (which will also be uploaded soon)

 

so for the time being im leaning mafia for manbat. and will vote for him unless something else pops up in the last few pages 

 

I THINK this is a good observation because it's a pretty big contradiction from me

 

err looking slightly better, ldo

 

 

monstr did err ever follow up on this?

 

 

I don't recall.

[monstrman]

Game is lock if we correctly consensus clear one player

 

Lenlo

Sarmtosser

Hoya

JMM

 

all mech clear

 

monstrman/tina/err/halliyates remains

 

 

find one villager

 

lynch the other three

 

gg

 

I'm currently thinking Tina/err for the wagons today pending further reread

[dicetosser1]

I want an answer to my question from Err

[Yates]

I'm currently thinking Tina/err for the wagons today pending further reread

Yup.

 

Probably Err.

[csarmi]

Unless their 3rd member is a GodFather (not impossible), the game is mechanically locked down. We have 4 clears out of 8, we lynch one now, cop gets another view (I'm gonna protect Sleeper) and we gonna have 4 clears out of 6 tomorrow.

 

Probably start with Err.

[Niniel]

[v] Monstr [/v]

 

 

It´s not me. 

 

I don´t believe it´s Err. Mafia have tried to lynch him and my re-read earlier gave me a good feeling.

 

Left is Monstr and Hally/Yates. The only reason that I haven´t voted for Monstr is because of Cory´s oppinions on him. But he was wrong about Tommy too. If Monstr is town I will continue with Hally/Yates. 

 

 

(There is of course a small possibility of a GF but I think it seems overpowered with the role blockers and a GF. It´s a basic game after all.)

[csarmi]

[v]Err[/v]

 

I'm trusting the Correh.

[csarmi]

Game is lock if we correctly consensus clear one player

 

Lenlo

Sarmtosser

Hoya

JMM

 

all mech clear

 

monstrman/tina/err/halliyates remains

 

 

find one villager

 

lynch the other three

 

gg

 

I'm currently thinking Tina/err for the wagons today pending further reread

It's lock if we believe there is no GF because the cop WILL get another view in and report it, I can guarantee that. We are a doc without any restrictions (we can self-protectm protect the same target any number of times in a row, we have unlimited shots, etc.).

[monstrman]

I'm a little upset cause I had a pretty elite reason for suspecting sili d1 and I leveled myself out of it.

[Yates]

[v]Err[/v]

 

Let's do this...

[monstrman]

I'm not above policy lynching Dawn

That's a perfectly =rand lynch in any game

She's either gotta be peeked or lynched. She's never gonna be NK'd and I prefer to lynch her sooner rather than later. And if she's scum it's even better

This might even spew lenlo villager aside from the peek, so if there was to be godfather tinfoil then he's prolly extra clear.

[monstrman]

I feel really bad case I feel like I'm partially if not largely responsible for leveling the village into ly ching pral over sili/tommy who we had as wagons d11

[monstrman]

Err is obvious townie.

Never lynch

As far as my sili vote it was mostly that I wanted to get in and rustle as many people as possible to try and read them. Didn't have a particular lean on him one way or the other so I just voted him to see what he said when he hopped into the thread and had three votes on him.

His reaction seemed downplayed, and I'm boy quite sure how to assess it right now. I think as a villager he's more likely to say that I am misreading him but the only problem I have with it is that he said it in such a way that seemed to imply he already knew I was a villager.

Like just matter if factly "I think this is the first time monstr misread me" and not "monstr has never misread me as a villager "

At first glance these appear to say the same thing but when you look closer the first one clearly implies "monstrman is a villaget, he is misreading me." Whereas the second one seems to say more of "I don't know if monstrman is a villager or not, but if he is he's misreading me."

I'm going to hold my vote on sili for the time being and ask him a question:

Sili what is your read of me and why?

Im sad I didn't stick to my convictions

[Niniel]

It feels like nobody even consider lynching Monstr. Why is that? I haven't had the time to re-read his posts. Is there annything there that show that he is town? I hope I get the time tonight.

 

Why are you voting Err?

[monstrman]

I think err may have been spewed villager

 

But I'm just at a loss right now because it's so hard to find a villager.

 

If we lynch

 

Tina/err/halliyates we probably win though.

[csarmi]

Never lynch Err though?

 

Tina, Err, Yates come and clear yourselves.

 

InBefore Monstr is villaging. I can't see him picking up the wim here as a wolf and especially not trying to clear peoples.

[monstrman]

I'm starting to find it hard to believe you can think I'm scum and so blatantly ignore all the work I'm doing itt reading wolves for information

[csarmi]

It feels like nobody even consider lynching Monstr. Why is that? I haven't had the time to re-read his posts. Is there annything there that show that he is town? I hope I get the time tonight.

Why are you voting Err?

Cory cleared him for 100%. He is good at clearing villagers and reading Monstr.

 

Also he is working now.

[Niniel]

I'm never good at clearing myself but take a look at my Sili case and the fact that I have wanted to lynch Tommy from day 1.

[Niniel]

 

It feels like nobody even consider lynching Monstr. Why is that? I haven't had the time to re-read his posts. Is there annything there that show that he is town? I hope I get the time tonight.

Why are you voting Err?

Cory cleared him for 100%. He is good at clearing villagers and reading Monstr.

 

Also he is working now.

I agree about Cory but he died on N1 (early game) and never wanted to lynch Tommy.

 

I'll see about his work. It seems to lead to "I don't know". It sounded like he had given up earlier. I'll try to read his posts later.

[Songstress]

OFFICIAL VOTE COUNT:

 

Manbat (1) - Tina

Err (2) - Sarmtosser, HalliYates

 

Not Voting (5): Lenlo, jmm, Err, Manbat, Sleeper

 

With 8 alive, it takes 5 to lynch.

 

 

Deadline for Day 4 is Saturday, December 20 @ 10 AM MST

Countdown link:http://www.timeanddate.com/countdown/generic?iso=20141220T10&p0=197&msg=DAY+FOUR+DEADLINE&csz=1

[jmm]

*nods*

[v]Err[/v]

[Songstress]

OFFICIAL VOTE COUNT:

 

Manbat (1) - Tina

Err (3) - Sarmtosser, HalliYates, jmm

 

Not Voting (4): Lenlo, Err, Manbat, Sleeper

 

With 8 alive, it takes 5 to lynch.

 

ERR IS AT L-2

 

Deadline for Day 4 is Saturday, December 20 @ 10 AM MST

Countdown link:http://www.timeanddate.com/countdown/generic?iso=20141220T10&p0=197&msg=DAY+FOUR+DEADLINE&csz=1

[monstrman]

I think we lynch halliyates/err and pop bottles.

[monstrman]

Dice come in here and talk to me.

 

Endgame is the most fun part for me lately and I want to discuss what theories you may have.