Jump to content

DRAGONMOUNT

A WHEEL OF TIME COMMUNITY

Recommended Posts

Posted
  On 8/10/2022 at 5:17 PM, SinisterDeath said:

lol, I'm just a math minded person.

If we miss lynch today, we increase our odds of catching a wolf on D2, but we equally increase our chances of losing.

No lynch we might be able to play through D3.
Miss Lynch could result in game over before D3 starts.


But we also have CHAOS factor.

Expand  

 

 

chaos-petyr.gif

  • Community Administrator
Posted
  On 8/10/2022 at 5:17 PM, Zander? said:

 

Gotta figure town has PRSto balance it as long as we choose them.on right people well be ok.  Like we know Wolves will have to NK Voodoo at some point just gotta keep things like that in mind when choosing our NAs

Expand  

For sure. I half expect VooDoo to get NK'd tonight or tomorrow night cause keeping him a confirmed townie alive lowers their odds significantly.

That begs the question, since you joked about lynching VooDoo, could that be a wolf ploy to remove guilt on you, so you could claim wolves targeted VooDoo to make you look guilty?

Posted
  On 8/10/2022 at 5:17 PM, Zander? said:

 

Gotta figure town has PRSto balance it as long as we choose them.on right people well be ok.  Like we know Wolves will have to NK Voodoo at some point just gotta keep things like that in mind when choosing our NAs

Expand  

scared too young to die GIF

Posted
  On 8/10/2022 at 4:05 PM, Zander? said:

I know Derfs asking himself why the F did I put my wife in my game with Zander in it...the answer Derf my friend is were both Mafia addicts and suckers for punishment lololololol

Expand  

 

@Zander? You know my husband well lol

 

  On 8/10/2022 at 4:12 PM, Zander? said:

 

Just assume I'm a Villager and you can trust me you'll be right this game and right like I don't know #themaths but like say 85% of the time.

 

 

Also don't ever fing trust anyone in a Mafia game unless they are Mod Confirmed

 

Hope this helps lolololol

Expand  

 

Hmm... you tell me I can trust you then proceed to tell me never to trust anyone. Eh, doesn't push me either way on you but you really make me laugh. @Darthe didn't @Verbal32 vote me or did they unvote me? I may have missed that but plz don't miss the votes on me I don't want no one thinking there's favoritism... not that your mafia addicted self would anyway. Your rules are written in literal stone.

Posted
  On 8/10/2022 at 5:21 PM, SinisterDeath said:

For sure. I half expect VooDoo to get NK'd tonight or tomorrow night cause keeping him a confirmed townie alive lowers their odds significantly.

That begs the question, since you joked about lynching VooDoo, could that be a wolf ploy to remove guilt on you, so you could claim wolves targeted VooDoo to make you look guilty?

Expand  

 

I mean it could I guess kinda but I'm obv I was joking and why would I wanna draw attention to it would be my question to you it wouldn't remove guilt it would in your scenario just draw some eyes to it which would be bad and stupid if I were a wolf?

 

 

Posted
  On 8/10/2022 at 5:22 PM, AwholeLoafaBread said:

 

@Zander? You know my husband well lol

 

 

Hmm... you tell me I can trust you then proceed to tell me never to trust anyone. Eh, doesn't push me either way on you but you really make me laugh. @Darthe didn't @Verbal32 vote me or did they unvote me? I may have missed that but plz don't miss the votes on me I don't want no one thinking there's favoritism... not that your mafia addicted self would anyway. Your rules are written in literal stone.

Expand  

If I missed it lmk, but I think vc is accurate.

Posted
  On 8/10/2022 at 5:22 PM, AwholeLoafaBread said:

 

@Zander? You know my husband well lol

 

 

Hmm... you tell me I can trust you then proceed to tell me never to trust anyone. Eh, doesn't push me either way on you but you really make me laugh. @Darthe didn't @Verbal32 vote me or did they unvote me? I may have missed that but plz don't miss the votes on me I don't want no one thinking there's favoritism... not that your mafia addicted self would anyway. Your rules are written in literal stone.

Expand  

 We've chatted a fair bit and played alot if Mafia together were very unlike in some ways and much more alike in others then either of us would ever dare admit lolololol

  • Community Administrator
Posted
  On 8/10/2022 at 5:23 PM, Zander? said:

I mean it could I guess kinda but I'm obv I was joking and why would I wanna draw attention to it would be my question to you it wouldn't remove guilt it would in your scenario just draw some eyes to it which would be bad and stupid if I were a wolf?

Expand  

It would be stupid.
But then Verbal shot you in the face, and said he would to.

Posted
  On 8/10/2022 at 5:24 PM, SinisterDeath said:

IS LOAF OF BREAD ACTUALLY AN ANDROID?! IS DARTHE A LIZARD PERSON?! WHY IS ZANDER THE GIANT TURTLE THAT HOLDS UP THE EARTH?!

Always Sunny Reaction GIF

Expand  

 

Because the earth is my Village and I must protect and take care of it LDO!!!!!!

 

 

Posted
  On 8/10/2022 at 3:56 PM, Darthe said:

 

Official Vote Count:

 

Zander (1/4): Sooh

No Lynch (1/4): Cass

 

Not Voting(5/7):

Voodoo, Zander, Sinister, Loaf, Verb

 

It takes four to lynch.

 

Countdown timer:

https://www.timeanddate.com/countdown/to?iso=20220810T1530&p0=25&msg=Day+One&font=cursive

Expand  

Still accurate.  Deadline is 2 hours. Currently No Lynch has priority.

Posted
  On 8/10/2022 at 5:25 PM, Zander? said:

 We've chatted a fair bit and played alot if Mafia together were very unlike in some ways and much more alike in others then either of us would ever dare admit lolololol

Expand  

Brb modkilling zanderf 

Posted
  On 8/10/2022 at 5:22 PM, AwholeLoafaBread said:

 

@Zander? You know my husband well lol

 

 

Hmm... you tell me I can trust you then proceed to tell me never to trust anyone. Eh, doesn't push me either way on you but you really make me laugh. @Darthe didn't @Verbal32 vote me or did they unvote me? I may have missed that but plz don't miss the votes on me I don't want no one thinking there's favoritism... not that your mafia addicted self would anyway. Your rules are written in literal stone.

Expand  

Verb voted you early on then unvoted you only votes are Soo h voting me and Cass voting No Lynch iirc.

Posted
  On 8/10/2022 at 4:42 PM, Zander? said:

 

Who the F reads rules...it'sone asking if someone rights an online contract ftom like Apple or Microsoft I'm pretty sure they own my house car kids and soul cause like I said who reads that shit lolololol

Expand  

 

I feel personally attacked...

Posted
  On 8/10/2022 at 5:28 PM, AwholeLoafaBread said:

 

I feel personally attacked...

Expand  

 

ARE YOU THE APPPLE AND OR THE MICROSOFT?!?!?!?!

 

GIVE ME MY CAR BACK!$!!!!$$  YOU CAN KEEP THE KIDS HOUSE AND MY SOUL IF YA WANNA BUT DAMNIT I LOVE MY TRUCK!!!!!!!

  • Community Administrator
Posted
  On 8/10/2022 at 5:27 PM, Darthe said:

Brb modkilling zanderf 

Expand  

I'm pretty sure driving to Zander's house and introducing him to a wood chipper isn't modkilling. That's just murder.

Posted
  On 8/10/2022 at 5:04 PM, SinisterDeath said:

The only thing we really learn by not lynching, is based on who the wolves kill during the night. IF they get one town kill, that narrows the list of wolf candidates from 6 players to 5. 
D2, we'd have a 20% chance of lynching a wolf, or a 40% if there's two wolves.

Lynching with 1 wolf in play on D1 has a 16.6% chance of being correct, and an 83.4% chance of being wrong.
D2 the odds change. If we have 1 miss lynch & 1the wolves kill 1 town in the night, we'll have 5 players left with 1 player confirmed town. With 1 wolf in play, we'd have a 25% chance of getting the wolf lynched D2. With 2 wolves in play, that increases to 50%.

Statistically wolves are in the best position either way. If we miss lynch D1, they're closer to winning. If we no lynch, they increase their odds of not getting lynched D2.

Most of this tells us little to nothing about who could be the wolf.

Expand  

 

This is so helpful, thank you. And wow they really do seem OP, especially if there is two. Was it still a discussion whether there was 2 or not? @Zander? @SinisterDeath 

  On 8/10/2022 at 5:17 PM, Zander? said:

 

Gotta figure town has PRSto balance it as long as we choose them.on right people well be ok.  Like we know Wolves will have to NK Voodoo at some point just gotta keep things like that in mind when choosing our NAs

Expand  

I don't think they will do it on the first night, just because it would be losing a confirmed town and I don't see how that would be useful in the long-game. Do that and you're not really windling down the pool of possibilities, you're removing the only known factor. IMO anyway.

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


×
×
  • Create New...