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[Standard] 11/10 Top Tier Vanilla+ Game Thread


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Posted

Tress:

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Then she votes Sili which looked really oportunistic. Especially after the reasoning that she gave in her earlier post 
 
that it was more of a gut feel
 

  On 11/13/2014 at 5:09 PM, Songstress said:

Top scum leans:
 
SIli - More gut feeling than anything specific, although I remember reading several posts that made me say "whoa there" 
 
and I could probably go back and pick them out if needed.  Willing to lynch.
 
DPR - I hate the thought of lynching Wes D1 when he's been gone for a while, but I'm seriously uncomfortable with his play 
 
so far, specifically how he's been interacting with Des and Cass.

 

  On 11/15/2014 at 3:44 AM, Songstress said:

A few quick takes based on the day/night results and discussion so far...
 
Des is still firmly on my town list.
 
Womby bumps down a notch.
 
Pral jumps up to tentative town - based on Despo's Yates Spew Analysis in part, but also because I don't see Scum!Pral 
 
dropping his push on me after realizing Yates never mentioned me in his reads list.  
 
DPR still looks sketchy to me.
 
Rags still looks pretty townie.
 
Little less sure of Thane.
 
I need to re-read and recalibrate, and tomorrow will be a fine, fine day for that.  Tonight is for unwinding from a long, 
 
stressful week.  Expect more activity from me for the next two days.

 
Day 2 - she clears me after I town spewing her. This actually lokoed townish for Tress because I would have expected scum 
 
to go hard against me for that 
 

  On 11/18/2014 at 5:14 PM, Songstress said:

Just for grins, let's do this first... 
 

  On 11/13/2014 at 5:09 PM, Songstress said:

Fairly comfortable town reads:
 
DesLami 
Kivam

 
- Wolf N1 Vig - Lynched D2
 

 

WWWwombat
 
- Seer - Killed N2
Nyn
 
 
Townish vibe:
 
Yates. - Wolf 
 
Godfather - Killed N1

Rags
Thane
 
Null/mixed/no clue:
 
Dice
AJ
Leelou
 
- Vanillager - Killed N1
 

Verbal32 / Barmacral Hydra
 
- Vanillager - Killed N2

Cass 
Stelio Kontos
 
Jailkeeper - Killed N1

Hallia
 
Mildly uncomfortable:
 
Arsis/Pral
Krakalakachkn
 
- Wolf N2 Vig - Killed N2
 

Darthe
 
No specifics for these guys, just a gut level discomfort that I can probably go back and make less nebulous this weekend.
 
Top scum leans:
 
Sili Quirrels
 
- Vanillager - Lynched D1
 

DreadPirateRoberts
 
- Vanillager - Killed N2
 


 
Good God, I'm on a roll.  At least one of my top town picks was town. :tongue:
 
Revised version to come later.
 
Her jokey post how she was wrong on her reads looked weird. It kind of looked forced, as if trying to justify that she is 
 
really town.
 


  On 11/18/2014 at 5:31 PM, Songstress said:

Kinda find it interesting that you'd assume Kivam of all people would toss out a random town read on a teammate for no 
 
apparent reason. 
 
I'd say AJ or Cass would be a better place to look, but I don't know that he'd be that obvious either.  Pretty sure 
 
everything Kivam said should be disregarded entirely, because hello WIFOM.  We're more likely to get clues to the last 
 
mafia from Yates and Krak.
 
Hallia's analysis looks pretty legit, I can see where she's coming from - but if Thane is right, and he's being set up, my 
 
gut tells me Nyn is a good place to look for the final mafia.
 
DesLami is my top pick for SK right now.
 
Have to run to the bank on the way to work so I'm out of time for this morning.  I'll see how I feel tonight and elaborate 
 
more.  I'll try to catch any questions for me later, if there are any aside from people implying I'm scum for being 
 
inactive and/or being wrong.

 
After that she had Nyn for the top scum and Des for the SK. Her reasoning about Kivam looked pretty townie though. But 
 
again, "gut suspect" 
 

  On 11/18/2014 at 8:30 PM, Songstress said:

 

  On 11/18/2014 at 5:44 PM, Andrej said:

Probably not moving my vote.
 
I love how you defend yourself with wifom irt Kivam's read on you and then next say that said wifom should be ignored 
 
because it's unreliable. I'll do just that.
 
When did Salamipot go from your top town read to your most likely SK candidate?

 
Didn't ask you to move your vote, sweetcheeks.
 
The beautiful thing is that I win with town regardless of whether I'm alive or not. Not saying I deserve it, but we can 
 
afford to mislynch today if that's what y'all want.
 
I have until Thursday night regardless, so I'm going to do my best to think coherently and post things that occur to me. 
 
My time is extremely limited at work and I think I've been as clear as I need to be about the rest of my situation, so I 
 
don't know how much I'll be able to contribute or how useful it will be, but I intend to try regardless of how many people 
 
want me to die today.
 
Lunch break is over, I'll try to look for questions later and respond. Help me not to forget this one.

 

 
This kind of frustrated post makes her look lot townish. Offering hersef for mislynch and also tryign to remedy the 
 
sitauation looks good on her. 
 
And, after that, she actually puts effort to get out her reads. 
 

  On 11/20/2014 at 5:24 AM, Songstress said:

 

  On 11/19/2014 at 5:29 PM, csarmi said:

I... You look kind of wolfy to me.
 
*Blushes*
 
Also what did you mean yesterday?
 
And do you have an analysis?
 
And how do you feel about Thane?

 
What did I mean by...?  
 
Analysis:  Without going back and fully re-reading, the people I feel most likely to be the last mafia would be 
 
potentially Thane, Nyn or Cass.  Top townies are Hally, AJ, Dice.   Pral I give townie points for unvoting me when he did 
 
after analyzing Yates' posts - I don't expect him to back off of me if he's scum for a reason like that.  I could be way 
 
off base, but it's a slight town lean nonetheless.  Rags and DesLami are question marks/mixed for me ATM.
 
Re: Thane, I can't decide whether Hally's point that Yates and Krak both tried to defend him D1 means he is more likely to 
 
be a teammate, or it was a group effort at white knighting.  If the intent was to look better in the event of a D1 
 
mislynch, I can see Nyn's careful neutrality as possibly being a counter position to the other two more overtly defending. 
 
  Or I could be completely off on both of them.   I've done a crapload of skimming and my thread recall is terrible at the 
 
moment. :tongue:

 

 
I think she is on the right track in this post. Especially regarding Thane
 

  On 11/20/2014 at 7:02 AM, Songstress said:

 

  On 11/20/2014 at 6:43 AM, Andrej said:

@Tress - if you had the sole lynching power to hammer someone in this instant, who would you pick and why?

 
That's as good as asking me who I'd vig shoot, isn't it, and you guys know how much I LOVE having that role :tongue:
 
I'm leaning toward Nyn at the moment. 
 
Originally I got a pretty good town vibe from how she handled Thane early game, but when I went back during my aborted 
 
re-read over the weekend I took a fresh look at that, and it didn't read quite as townie to me as the original impression. 
 
 I liked Hally's points about how Yates and Krak defended Thane, but when Thane brought up that they could have been 
 
defending him to look better against the extreme likelihood of his D1 lynch, I started reconsidering how Nyn had tried to 
 
stay neutral.  She and Yates had a little back and forth trying to nudge at me, which I skimmed over at the time, but 
 
knowing Yates' alignment kind of feels iffy.  Her Verb and Barm ISOs also looked pretty all right without going back to 
 
compare against the actual posts, but I thought Verb had actually done a good job of responding (which is why I didn't 
 
jump in to vote Verb late day - that and the fact that I hadn't fully caught up and it was just a few minutes from 
 
deadline by the time I had free time to post at all).   And her "LOL is apparently a scum tell" post reminded me of how 
 
she's reacted in the past when she's scum and people FOS her over stuff that she doesn't think should be considered a scum 
 
tell (thinking of the most recent Harry Potter game IIRC).

 

 
She started tinfoiling on Nyn at this point.SOme of her points are fine because other saw it too. Personally I found Nyn's 
 
post against verb/bram to be looking quite townish. This doesn't give a lot of reveal of Terss' alignment though
 
 

  On 11/20/2014 at 11:59 PM, Songstress said:

Lots of people gone for the rest of the day. :unsure:
 
I'll be checking in as time permits until deadline. On my phone so paging back and finding quotes will be a no-go, but if 
 
there's anything I need to address I will.
 
As of right now it's pretty pointless, but I'll put it on record and vote with my best guess. I think the last remaining 
 
mafia would (and should) be fighting pretty hard to stay alive, if they're even under suspicion at all. That doesn't jibe 
 
with Rags' behavior right now. He could be the SK and just have given up on this game, I guess, but I would be shocked if 
 
he was mafia.
 
[v]##Cass [/v]

 
That was a decent vote by Tress on Cass. Her point about Rags is likely to come from a townie. Granted that she could be 
 
trying to distance from a town lynch, but it doesn't exactly look like that. 
 


 
So, essentially what I see on Tress was her extremely suspect posts on D1 and D2, which actually gets better as the game progresses. She could be, as she herself said, "fighting pretty hard to stay alive". She is probably scum but I have bigger suspicions on thane at the moment

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Posted

Wow, that came out bad. Posting it again.

 

Tress:

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So, essentially what I see on Tress was her extremely suspect posts on D1 and D2, which actually gets better as the game

progresses. She could be, as she herself said, "fighting pretty hard to stay alive". She is probably scum but I hae bigger

suspicions on thane at the moment

Posted
  On 11/23/2014 at 3:18 AM, Songstress said:

 

Darthe has been raising my eyebrows today with the amount of aggression he's piling on Pral, Dice and Hallia, but it occurred to me while I was thinking about the game in the shower that this may well be Town!Darthe trying to get a rise out of some of the players he's trying to read better.  Not ready to toss him in the scum pile just now, because this kinda makes sense in a twisted Dartheish way.

 

I hadn't gotten around to you yet but aggression probably wouldn't pan out as well with you anyhow.  Too much experience and comfort under pressure.  

 

You've fairly admitted to having a sucky D1 and D2.  That's probably going to be used against you through the rest of the game.  Is there anything you've done that you think points to you being town in those days?

Posted
  On 11/23/2014 at 8:35 PM, Darthe said:

 

  On 11/23/2014 at 3:18 AM, Songstress said:

 

Darthe has been raising my eyebrows today with the amount of aggression he's piling on Pral, Dice and Hallia, but it occurred to me while I was thinking about the game in the shower that this may well be Town!Darthe trying to get a rise out of some of the players he's trying to read better.  Not ready to toss him in the scum pile just now, because this kinda makes sense in a twisted Dartheish way.

 

I hadn't gotten around to you yet but aggression probably wouldn't pan out as well with you anyhow.  Too much experience and comfort under pressure.  

 

You've fairly admitted to having a sucky D1 and D2.  That's probably going to be used against you through the rest of the game.  Is there anything you've done that you think points to you being town in those days?

 

 

With me, I'd either ignore it or you'd hit a nerve and I'd emo out anyway.  Hazards of playing while sick.  At least this game I managed to avoid a major PMS attack, and I didn't start the game being cranky at Tommy :wink::wub:

 

All I can say about D1 and 2, as for the whole game so far, is that I've said what I honestly think - whether or not it's terribly clear or makes a lick of sense, or anyone agrees with it.  I've had a pretty rotten game, to be quite frank, but I'm trying to push myself to be more clear now that we're getting down to the end.  I can't go back and fix the first couple of game days to play it better, I can only try to explain what I was thinking to be more transparent for the rest of you.  You guys are the ones who have to judge whether or not I'm being honest or trying to manipulate you.

Posted
  On 11/23/2014 at 6:44 PM, Pralaya said:

Wow, that came out bad. Posting it again.

 

Tress:

 

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So, essentially what I see on Tress was her extremely suspect posts on D1 and D2, which actually gets better as the game

 

progresses. She could be, as she herself said, "fighting pretty hard to stay alive". She is probably scum but I hae bigger

 

suspicions on thane at the moment

 

 

Really.   :dry:

 

 

  Reveal hidden contents

 

 

I don't know if that's how you fight really hard to stay alive, but it's not how I fight.

 

I'm trying to be as open and clear with you guys as I can be, and answer your questions, because you deserve that much. And if I need to die to clarify things further and help town achieve the win, I don't mind at all.  Let's just not wait so long to do it that the mislynch hurts more than it helps narrowing things down.

Posted
  On 11/23/2014 at 6:44 PM, Pralaya said:

That was a decent vote by Tress on Cass. Her point about Rags is likely to come from a townie. Granted that she could be

 

trying to distance from a town lynch, but it doesn't exactly look like that.

 

 

 

 

So, essentially what I see on Tress was her extremely suspect posts on D1 and D2, which actually gets better as the game

 

progresses. She could be, as she herself said, "fighting pretty hard to stay alive". She is probably scum but I hae bigger

 

suspicions on thane at the moment

 

This struck me as wrong. A) i think pral has a bit of confirmation bias happening here but b) is she is probably scum and you only have suspicions on thane why are'nt you voting her? You almost seem to shrug this "shes probably scum" bit off like its not worth your attention.

Posted

@Laya

 

I went through your two previous games.  From what I can see you have a much more reactive town game than mafia game.  Your use of mechanical posts isn't pronounced in either but as a townie you are more inclined to be pragmatic and to target specific people rather than play the field in a general sense.  

 

What I draw from this is that you're playing a really good scum game or a really weak town game for you.  

 

I think the odds of Laya being scum in this particular game decrease based on what I have seen but that his SK chances go up a smidge.  Below I linked a few posts from each game that somewhat run the gamut so that anyone interested can read.  My take on it is that he currently falls somewhere in between the two, if slightly on the town side.

 

Laya Mafia Game Big posts

 

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Laya Town Game Big Posts

 

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Posted

Vote Count D4.01:

 

Pral (1): Darthe [#3440]

Darthe (1): Hallia [#3515]

 

Unvote (1): Deslami [#3488]

 

Not Voting (5): Cass, Dice, Pralaya, Thane, Tress

 

At the gallows: Pral

 

Reminder: players not voting at EOD will be voting for themselves.

 

gre_1416880800.png

Posted

Hey guys, reading along on phone at work today and yesterday was a crappy health day so sorry for inactivity.

 

Actually liking Pral more than Tress atm, still also have concerns about Deslami and Thane.

 

Re Darthe, does anyone know if he's usually one of the first to get all serious about things in the early game and if those big posts he did a couple of pages ago are his usual Town style?

Posted

Dice are you voting because of 3556? 

 

@Cass, I get serious quickly or never get serious at all and I sometimes make big posts.  What makes you like Laya over Tress?

Posted

@ Darthe

 

In short, gut. Both of them have been making a bigger effort and more contributory posts of late, which helps some, but as well as 'basing' her major point against me on the activity of Kiv and Krak and the idea that I have been masterminded by Kiv, Tress is making some comments that seem over-obvious and over-emotive to me at this point (given how clinical the rest of her tone seems to be). Eg. 'the beautiful thing is I win with town regardless of whether I'm alive or not' (3026),' 'If I have to die...' 'You guys are the ones who have to judge whether or not I'm being honest or trying to manipulate you,' (3554).

 

It also doesn't help her case (in my mind) that since 2950, p 148, she suggested most likely scum were AJ or Nyn or I and those two have also flipped as Town.

 

Sorry, posting on phone sucks, will try to dig further/make this neater with links etc tonight.

Posted

i've read up a tad. Been busy this weekend and should be around some today. 

 

What i've been reading makes me wonder about Pral, again... 

 

vote:##Pral

 

i'm pretty certain he's either the wolf or the SK this game. i know i'll be getting heat again for once more voting Pral etc, but i don't care at this point. He needs to go. 

Posted
  On 11/23/2014 at 11:28 PM, dicetosser1 said:

 

  On 11/23/2014 at 6:44 PM, Pralaya said:

That was a decent vote by Tress on Cass. Her point about Rags is likely to come from a townie. Granted that she could be

 

trying to distance from a town lynch, but it doesn't exactly look like that.

 

 

 

 

So, essentially what I see on Tress was her extremely suspect posts on D1 and D2, which actually gets better as the game

 

progresses. She could be, as she herself said, "fighting pretty hard to stay alive". She is probably scum but I hae bigger

 

suspicions on thane at the moment

 

This struck me as wrong. A) i think pral has a bit of confirmation bias happening here but b) is she is probably scum and you only have suspicions on thane why are'nt you voting her? You almost seem to shrug this "shes probably scum" bit off like its not worth your attention.

 

  On 11/23/2014 at 11:28 PM, dicetosser1 said:

 

  On 11/23/2014 at 6:44 PM, Pralaya said:

That was a decent vote by Tress on Cass. Her point about Rags is likely to come from a townie. Granted that she could be

 

trying to distance from a town lynch, but it doesn't exactly look like that.

 

 

 

 

So, essentially what I see on Tress was her extremely suspect posts on D1 and D2, which actually gets better as the game

 

progresses. She could be, as she herself said, "fighting pretty hard to stay alive". She is probably scum but I hae bigger

 

suspicions on thane at the moment

 

This struck me as wrong. A) i think pral has a bit of confirmation bias happening here but b) is she is probably scum and you only have suspicions on thane why are'nt you voting her? You almost seem to shrug this "shes probably scum" bit off like its not worth your attention.

 

Are you serious? Did you even read my ISO on both Thane and Tress? I have clearly pointed out which posts of tress I find scummy and which posts i find townish. And, I am also saying that I find Thane to be scummier than tress - so why would I vote her? After having spent an hour each to ISO both of them, I find it a bit superficial of you to see you casually mention that I am shrugging her off. Commenting only on the summary without actually reading why I find her the way I have written is pure lazy.

 

I am town here and I would totally get if you want to vote me based on gameplay. But, after putting hours of effort on a weekend and seeing an instinctive vote on me is just frustrating. Stop looking at single posts and look at the post overall or even the gameplay overall and show me where I have been scummy. I understand that I was on the lynch wagon on D1 and even Yates pushing me hard but post D1, I have been as open as i can regarding my reads and have multiple posts about Tress specifically. Do ISO me and see if anything has changed since the beginning of the game.

Posted
  On 11/24/2014 at 5:34 AM, Thane Vakarian said:

i've read up a tad. Been busy this weekend and should be around some today. 

 

What i've been reading makes me wonder about Pral, again... 

 

vote:##Pral

 

i'm pretty certain he's either the wolf or the SK this game. i know i'll be getting heat again for once more voting Pral etc, but i don't care at this point. He needs to go.

This vote concurs with everything that I have been saying about Thane in my ISO. His inactivity late game, his opportunism, his flip-flopping, his tunneling. I don't see how he is not a scum here.

 

Do read my ISO about Thane where I have put some effort looking at specific posts of his which matches with my assessment of him. And, then lok at this vote. If you still feel that I am reaching here, fair enough, go ahead and vote me. But, don't do it without even trying to read what I have written.

 

[v]## Thane[/v]

Posted

i think i've been quite active untill this past weekend. I had RL things to do. Your posting has bugged me since D1. It has improved somewhat later on in the game, but now i don't like it. 

 

Go ahead, vote all you like. I strongly believe i was right on you from the start

Posted
  On 11/24/2014 at 7:31 AM, Thane Vakarian said:

i think i've been quite active untill this past weekend. I had RL things to do. Your posting has bugged me since D1. It has improved somewhat later on in the game, but now i don't like it. 

 

Go ahead, vote all you like. I strongly believe i was right on you from the start

My ISO on you was not just on the inactivity but much more posts as well. It was just one minor point among many. Care to show me what exactly has bugged you? And, what has improved? And, what have you not liked recently?

Posted
  On 11/24/2014 at 8:07 AM, dicetosser1 said:

oh i read them pral. i just dont agree. i have had thane as a strong town read a long time now and as i said above im not getting a scum vibe from tress

Which is what I wanted you to point out. What you disagree about my assessment and what makes you have a strong town read on him. You never pointed out that and just instinctively replied to a basic summary of what I posted of my ISO on both of them.

Posted

for thane....he feels like town thane.  his behaviour early was just like the many times ive seen him mislynched. relaxed, chilling and hard for people to understand. he hasnt done anything thats made me scratch my head and say "wha??  thats from thane?"

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