[Basic]What's the theme? - ad lib mafia

[Eldrick4221]

Towniest*

 

(Stupid autocorrect)

[Niniel]

That wasn't good. I will have to re-read d2. So many were away though, it will make it harder.

[Eldrick4221]

If it is exactly verb and marsh, I'd like to apologize now for being against lynching them today because they wouldn't be here.

[bopolis]

i agree with eldrick that the simplest most easy straight forward world is there is two in verbal/marsh/lenlo; if not two then likely one.

 

If it is just one, then the other is likely in eldrick/darthe and if there is a deep busser on hallia RIP. I'm reading nin as a villa(not as confident as i am in AJ/dice/clov but more confident than i am currently in eldrick and certainly more confident than I am in darthe). 

 

If Verbal is a wolf then the deep bus tinfoil becomes stronger and if verbal is a villa then i'm probably not gonna worry about a super deep one.

 

 

Things that I wish:

to hear from ironeyes

to hear from verbal

to hear from lenlo

to hear from darthie-darthie-doo-dee-kins

[Eldrick4221]

  On 1/23/2017 at 6:31 AM, Niniel said:

That wasn't good. I will have to re-read d2. So many were away though, it will make it harder.

Harder to find usefyl information. Easier to read (cuz it's short)

[Eldrick4221]

  On 1/23/2017 at 6:41 AM, bopolis said:

i agree with eldrick that the simplest most easy straight forward world is there is two in verbal/marsh/lenlo; if not two then likely one.

 

If it is just one, then the other is likely in eldrick/darthe and if there is a deep busser on hallia RIP. I'm reading nin as a villa(not as confident as i am in AJ/dice/clov but more confident than i am currently in eldrick and certainly more confident than I am in darthe). 

 

If Verbal is a wolf then the deep bus tinfoil becomes stronger and if verbal is a villa then i'm probably not gonna worry about a super deep one.

 

 

Things that I wish:

to hear from ironeyes

to hear from verbal

to hear from lenlo

to hear from darthie-darthie-doo-dee-kins

What makes the third wolf beung less likely to be in marsh/lenlo is verb is wolf?

[Eldrick4221]

if*

[Niniel]

That is right.

[bopolis]

verb being a wolf doesn't make marsh/lenlo less likely.

 

it makes my concern of a deep one more likely

[Eldrick4221]

Also sounds like you think Verb should be next. Good chance of being wolf, and easier solve if villa.

[Eldrick4221]

  On 1/23/2017 at 6:50 AM, bopolis said:

verb being a wolf doesn't make marsh/lenlo less likely.

 

it makes my concern of a deep one more likely

Those are one and the same to me.

[Eldrick4221]

If a variable makes one aspect more likely, it makes a connected aspect less likely.

[bopolis]

at this moment i want verb, that's true but that can change since lynch isn't for another three days(1day night, 2 day dayphase)

 

im currently also open to ironeyes and lenlo.

 

I 100% want one of the three lynched barring any threadvelopments today

[bopolis]

  On 1/23/2017 at 6:51 AM, Eldrick4221 said:

 

  On 1/23/2017 at 6:50 AM, bopolis said:

verb being a wolf doesn't make marsh/lenlo less likely.

 

it makes my concern of a deep one more likely

Those are one and the same to me.

 

 

then thats a you problem.

[Eldrick4221]

  On 1/23/2017 at 6:54 AM, bopolis said:

at this moment i want verb, that's true but that can change since lynch isn't for another three days(1day night, 2 day dayphase)

 

im currently also open to ironeyes and lenlo.

 

I 100% want one of the three lynched barring any threadvelopments today

With that we are in complete agreement.

 

Not lynching AJ, MrsClov, Darthe, Dice, or Nini this game.

 

Lynching those 3 over you.

 

As far as I'm concerned, the game is already basically solved. It's just sorting out the villa from the PoE, and plenty of time left to do so.

[Eldrick4221]

  On 1/23/2017 at 6:58 AM, bopolis said:

 

  On 1/23/2017 at 6:51 AM, Eldrick4221 said:

 

  On 1/23/2017 at 6:50 AM, bopolis said:

verb being a wolf doesn't make marsh/lenlo less likely.

 

it makes my concern of a deep one more likely

 

Those are one and the same to me.

 

then thats a you problem.

That's fine. It's not a problem to begin with.

[Eldrick4221]

  On 1/23/2017 at 6:59 AM, Eldrick4221 said:

 

  On 1/23/2017 at 6:54 AM, bopolis said:

at this moment i want verb, that's true but that can change since lynch isn't for another three days(1day night, 2 day dayphase)

 

im currently also open to ironeyes and lenlo.

 I 100% want one of the three lynched barring any threadvelopments today

With that we are in complete agreement.

Not lynching AJ, MrsClov, Darthe, Dice, or Nini this game.

Lynching those 3 over you.

As far as I'm concerned, the game is already basically solved. It's just sorting out the villa from the PoE, and plenty of time left to do so.

List is ordered, fwiw.

[bopolis]

  On 1/23/2017 at 6:54 AM, Eldrick4221 said:

If a variable makes one aspect more likely, it makes a connected aspect less likely.

 

1) there is no way to quantify accurately mafia games

 

2) Even IF there was a way to do it, if i think one outcome happens 51% of the time, the other 49% are made up of all the other outcomes(note multiple outcomes). Just because I think one of those becomes more likely, does not mean it draws from the 51%, it can draw from the other outcomes in the 49%

 

3) we can talk about this more in post game if you wish

[Eldrick4221]

It's cool. I see the difference.

[bopolis]

good talk, im heading to bed

 

go patriots

[Verbal32]

  On 1/22/2017 at 8:11 PM, Andrej said:

I'm cool with a Verb lynch too. Both Nolder and Verb had a brief period during D1 where I thought they were townie ish but as a whole I'm not impressed with their games.

 

I thought Verb was actually hinting at being Watcher which is why I crossed him off my list.

 

I was  - I was trying to draw a NK.

[Verbal32]

  On 1/22/2017 at 8:06 PM, bopolis said:

 

  On 1/22/2017 at 8:04 PM, Eldrick4221 said:

 

  On 1/22/2017 at 7:55 PM, bopolis said:

rereading verbal's ISO

 

I would also be fine lynchign there.

 

There is alot of filler and not much meat. Alot of questions, jokey comments, and comments on other people's reads but not much original things going on.

 

The impression i got from their iso is that they are tryign to stay in the middle not really commiting to any reads. I get this because she says several times about people that they could be wolf or villa and that she has alot of nulls, so many in fact that she can't make a real list.

This post is confusing the hell out of me.

 

You start by taking about verb.

Then you say they and their (who's the other one you're talking about?)

Then you say she (verb is male)

 

 

I thought verb was a girl but wasn't sure so I used they, the second time i didn't catch it.

 

 

Yeah, I can see how the Gender: Male thing might throw you off.

 

;-)

[Verbal32]

Let me summarize:  the whole problem with me is that I was showing a little sus of MrsClov with some of her comments she made?  And that I wanted to lynch Wifi over Hallia?

 

Like, ok - I was wrong on Wifi, and if that means I'll need to die, fine.  Just make sure you guys carry this over the finish line, because I have a bad feeling we're completely missing a scum member.

 

I still need to ISO Marsh and MrsClov today.

[Verbal32]

@Tina - I did answer, I'm not doing it again.

[Andrej]

I'm kind of paranoid about Lenlo/Nini