[Basic]TRON Mafia Game-Day 4

[RandA lThor]

If NotBob is mafia, then I can hammer all things good happen, etc. etc.

 

If NotBob is town, here's my analysis:

 

Possible Teams: Tommy/Mynd - Mynd voted first to avoid looking like mafia waiting for a chance to ninja hammer.  Now Tommy leaps on to make it seem like town wants to hammer this guy, when he's actually town.  In lieu of only the above statement, this strategy is possible.

 

Tommy/Clov - I think it would be more in their interest to organize another ninja hammer. :P  Tommy voting now risks other people unvoting if they get scared.  I don't think he would take that chance, so I think this is less likely.  The only possible strategy is Tommy won't be around with Clov, and he knows it, so he's putting his vote making it seem reasonable and waiting for Clov hoping no one unvotes.  That's less reasonable, and this team isn't a possibility on my previous teams chart, so cross this one out.

 

Clov/Mynd - Same thing as the Tommy/Mynd strategy, but Clov hasn't come yet, and he will place hammer.  One sec while I grab the plausible teams post.

[RandA lThor]

NB/Clov

 

Mynd/Clov

 

Mynd/Tommy

[RandA lThor]

Interesting.  Two of the three teams that are on here fit with the plausible NotBob is town theory.

 

Also interesting, if NotBob flips scum, his teammate is likely to be the only one of you 4 that hasn't voted yet.

[Myndrunner]

See, thats the thing....if it's Tommy/NB then they did an exceptional job distancing.  I just can't see it.  

 

I also can't see Tommy/Clov either. 

[Xthrax]

Official Vote Count-Day 4

 

NotBob-(3/4)-Mynd, Darthe, Tommy

 

Not Voting-(3/6)-NotBob, RandA lThor, Clov

 

6 Alive, takes 4 to Lynch

 

Deadline-http://www.timeanddate.com/countdown/generic?iso=20140801T2015&p0=438&msg=End+of+Day+4

[Myndrunner]

[Xthrax]

NotBob is at L-1

[Darthe]

Interesting.  Two of the three teams that are on here fit with the plausible NotBob is town theory.

 

Also interesting, if NotBob flips scum, his teammate is likely to be the only one of you 4 that hasn't voted yet.

If I arrange three names in groups of two with the assumption that someone outside of the group is town I can make them fit too.  That's bad logic Rand.  Most likely in this game it is NB and Clov with Mynd as an alternative.  If it is Tommy he already won because he makes so much less sense to lynch than them that it's simply bad play on the towns' part to ever lynch him here.

 

Hammer plz.  This is going to make you look suspect otherwise.  You have to vote with me anyhow so play to my decision and I'll take the blame later if I am wrong.

[Darthe]

NotBob is at L-1

Is he a wolf?

[Xthrax]

 

NotBob is at L-1

Is he a wolf?

 

PAFO

[RandA lThor]

See, thats the thing....if it's Tommy/NB then they did an exceptional job distancing.  I just can't see it.  

 

I also can't see Tommy/Clov either. 

Lol thats why they're not on my list

 

 

 

Interesting.  Two of the three teams that are on here fit with the plausible NotBob is town theory.

 

Also interesting, if NotBob flips scum, his teammate is likely to be the only one of you 4 that hasn't voted yet.

If I arrange three names in groups of two with the assumption that someone outside of the group is town I can make them fit too.  That's bad logic Rand.  Most likely in this game it is NB and Clov with Mynd as an alternative.  If it is Tommy he already won because he makes so much less sense to lynch than them that it's simply bad play on the towns' part to ever lynch him here.

 

Hammer plz.  This is going to make you look suspect otherwise.  You have to vote with me anyhow so play to my decision and I'll take the blame later if I am wrong.

 

K fine but just to be clear, you take the blame if this is wrong.

 

[v] NotBob [/v]

 

[RandA lThor]

NotBob is at L-1

 

I feel like this was some kind of warning.... damn i have a really bad feeling about this

[Tommyrod]

As for who the most likely scum partner is with NB...

 

Mynd: these two were the last to really go at each other during this F6. They both came into F6 with me as top scum and Mynd making comments like "why are you still alive? How clear is Rand?" while not updating his casework he prepared prior to the kill but egging on others to case. Not aggressive, playing up the confused angle. He and NB have had some oddly specific, borderline TMI criticisms of each other. NB stating Mynd didn't even wait to see if Darthe was blocked before voting me; Mynd saying NB is scum with Nyn because they were flirting on QT instead of in thread. Both have a habit of dodging questions. Mynd could have voted NB first to go for the bus and establish a little towncred.

 

Clov: was synced with NB on Monday when I came back from the weekend. Was unusually aggressive toward me at first and then remained wishy-washy on me until he reread the thread (he claims). Notably, didn't try to lynch me in F6. Could have if he was scum. Has some Nyn spew that looks similar to my own. But he's been somewhat... passive? Darthe mentioned how he's lacking in townie aggression today and I noticed that too. Could be busy, might be scum. Liked his aggression toward Mynd but his case on me was pretty lulzy.

 

Add everything up and I think it's something like 60/40 Mynd/Clov. Neither has done a good enough job of clearing themselves, but Mynd just feels sneakier in a way that's difficult to articulate; the subtle manipulation aspect, particularly today.

[Xthrax]

 

NotBob is at L-1

 

I feel like this was some kind of warning.... damn i have a really bad feeling about this

 

Not a warning. It's because I'm sleepy and might not be up for too long.

[Xthrax]

 

NotBob is at L-1

 

I feel like this was some kind of warning.... damn i have a really bad feeling about this

 

Not a warning. It's because I'm sleepy and might not be up for too long.

[Tommyrod]

I don't know why you guys are flipping out. Dude is scum -- if he wasn't, we lost even before this F6.

[Myndrunner]

As for who the most likely scum partner is with NB...

 

Mynd: these two were the last to really go at each other during this F6. They both came into F6 with me as top scum and Mynd making comments like "why are you still alive? How clear is Rand?" while not updating his casework he prepared prior to the kill but egging on others to case. Not aggressive, playing up the confused angle. He and NB have had some oddly specific, borderline TMI criticisms of each other. NB stating Mynd didn't even wait to see if Darthe was blocked before voting me; Mynd saying NB is scum with Nyn because they were flirting on QT instead of in thread. Both have a habit of dodging questions. Mynd could have voted NB first to go for the bus and establish a little towncred.

 

Clov: was synced with NB on Monday when I came back from the weekend. Was unusually aggressive toward me at first and then remained wishy-washy on me until he reread the thread (he claims). Notably, didn't try to lynch me in F6. Could have if he was scum. Has some Nyn spew that looks similar to my own. But he's been somewhat... passive? Darthe mentioned how he's lacking in townie aggression today and I noticed that too. Could be busy, might be scum. Liked his aggression toward Mynd but his case on me was pretty lulzy.

 

Add everything up and I think it's something like 60/40 Mynd/Clov. Neither has done a good enough job of clearing themselves, but Mynd just feels sneakier in a way that's difficult to articulate; the subtle manipulation aspect, particularly today.

 

Anyone else besides me read this as someone who knows Not Bob will flip scum?

 

 

.....dang it, I'm doing it again, aren't I?  

[Xthrax]

Official Vote Count-Day 4

 

NotBob-(4/4)-Mynd, Darthe, Tommy, RandA lThor

 

Not Voting-(2/6)-NotBob, Clov

 

6 Alive, takes 4 to Lynch

 

Deadline-http://www.timeanddate.com/countdown/generic?iso=20140801T2015&p0=438&msg=End+of+Day+4

[Xthrax]

That's a lynch. Scene incoming...

[RandA lThor]

 

 

NotBob is at L-1

 

I feel like this was some kind of warning.... damn i have a really bad feeling about this

 

Not a warning. It's because I'm sleepy and might not be up for too long.

 

Not a warning... so we got it right??? I'm freaking out now guys

[Darthe]

Lol relax dude it's only a game.

[Darthe]

We got one.  I'm pretty sure and Tommy isn't likely to do a slow roll on us tonight.

 

@Mafia, if you don't kill me I kill you tomorrow.  I'm viewing one of mynd/clov and lynching the other.  Prob lynching clov.

[鲍勃不是我的名字]

 

See, thats the thing....if it's Tommy/NB then they did an exceptional job distancing.  I just can't see it.  

 

I also can't see Tommy/Clov either. 

Lol thats why they're not on my list

 

 

 

Interesting.  Two of the three teams that are on here fit with the plausible NotBob is town theory.

 

Also interesting, if NotBob flips scum, his teammate is likely to be the only one of you 4 that hasn't voted yet.

If I arrange three names in groups of two with the assumption that someone outside of the group is town I can make them fit too.  That's bad logic Rand.  Most likely in this game it is NB and Clov with Mynd as an alternative.  If it is Tommy he already won because he makes so much less sense to lynch than them that it's simply bad play on the towns' part to ever lynch him here.

 

Hammer plz.  This is going to make you look suspect otherwise.  You have to vote with me anyhow so play to my decision and I'll take the blame later if I am wrong.

 

K fine but just to be clear, you take the blame if this is wrong.

 

[v] NotBob [/v]

 

 

 

Go watch the movie the Hustler with Jackie Gleason and Paul Newman.  It explains exactly why this logic is a loser...unless of course Darthe or you are scum...in that case....congrats!

[鲍勃不是我的名字]

We got one.  I'm pretty sure and Tommy isn't likely to do a slow roll on us tonight.

 

@Mafia, if you don't kill me I kill you tomorrow.  I'm viewing one of mynd/clov and lynching the other.  Prob lynching clov.

 

Game over I'm afraid.

[鲍勃不是我的名字]

Pretty sure scum = Tommy and Mynd

 

Good game to all.  I had fun.