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[Game Thread] Aspiring Tennis Enthusiasts, GRATS MAFIA


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Posted

I guess the bottom of my case is that there’s no reason for BFG to once again pair with me unless we are both scum. So if you don’t think I am scum, then she shouldn’t be scum either.

 

This is clearly a play to benefit from the tinfoil based on that and the selection of NKs.

 

I mean I disagree, as BFG could do it with Lenio. I do agree that it's less likely to do if she's Solo, but if she is Solo, she's already backed into a corner as is.

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Posted

 

 

AJ, it is my opinion that if BFG would have to beat you regardless, that she stands a slightly better chance at challenging you again earlier instead of later. Do you disagree with this?

Considering every player still alive minus SK voted her, if I remember correctly, then no.

no you don't disagree or no you don't agree?

No I don’t agree. If she’s the lone scum this matchup isn’t favorable. If she’s partnered with either of you, this matchup still isn’t favorable. Better to hope she beats the other player and hope her partner beats me to end the game, or purposefully flop so her partner makes it to the Final.

Posted

Also AJ, for both of you to be town, that means it's Lenio alone, which doesn't make sense either as he rezzed a non-partner in this world.

For the tinfoil then. Which is probably the case regardless of your alignment and it’s him.

Posted

Like the only situation where me and BFG rematching is if I am scum and thought I’d win again based on D1 voting. So either you believe that, or she has to be at least not a goon. There’s still symp equity cause they don’t set the matches but my independent read on her is town. Can’t speak for everyone though.

Posted

 

 

 

AJ, it is my opinion that if BFG would have to beat you regardless, that she stands a slightly better chance at challenging you again earlier instead of later. Do you disagree with this?

Considering every player still alive minus SK voted her, if I remember correctly, then no.

no you don't disagree or no you don't agree?

No I don’t agree. If she’s the lone scum this matchup isn’t favorable. If she’s partnered with either of you, this matchup still isn’t favorable. Better to hope she beats the other player and hope her partner beats me to end the game, or purposefully flop so her partner makes it to the Final.

 

 

but that's what I'm saying the matchup doesn't get better later in the game...., in fact it argueably gets worse as you'd know for sure she's scum in that world. Also if she was with Lenio, them switching matchups would be slightly better I guess, but then Lenio would be the one to phase you and you still have "why did BFG get rezzed"

Posted

You two are making my head hurt........

Just do your best I guess. Consider who was killed and why the marches were set as they were. Then cross reference to your individual reads on each player.

Posted

From what I do understand (maybe not), I think I would agree with Aquila that scum want to win today.

 

Which brings me [unvote].

Posted

I don't think Lenio is alone, because if he was he'd have to have raised a non-partner. I guess he could've taken a shot in the dark and rezzed the person he thought was the symp, but that's less likely than just rezzing his partner.

Posted

 

You two are making my head hurt........

Just do your best I guess. Consider who was killed and why the marches were set as they were. Then cross reference to your individual reads on each player.

 

 

the Ben kill is the most surprising one, so that's the one I'll look at more when I have the time to iso. Sooh and Nyn dying was fairly obvious tbh.

Posted

So, obvious first thought says AJ pairs with BFG again to ensure easy match-up with newly revived BFG, who will be looked at as scum just for being rezzed. Easy scum win for AJ.

 

Second thought says ignore the first thought. You've town read AJ all game.

 

Third thought: If scum want to win today, pair up in different brackets. BFG won't win against AJ. Lenlo/Aquila are fairly split even, so will be the harder match to win.

 

With the assumption of two scum I'd say they will split brackets and go for the W. which logic tells me must be AJ and Lenlo.

 

Do I put faith in any of what I just said?

 

Nope

Posted

There is guaranteed 1 goon alive. Because if both goons had died then they'd rez a goon to guarantee still be in the game.

If both goons had died, we would be down to the symp. Historically symps don't get any say in scum night actions.

 

There shouldn't be a rez if both goons were offed.

Posted

There is guaranteed 1 goon alive. Because if both goons had died then they'd rez a goon to guarantee still be in the game.

That’s not a bad thought. Still clashes with my idea of BFG as town or symp.

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