[Game Thread] Aspiring Tennis Enthusiasts, GRATS MAFIA

[Andrej]

 

 

 

 

Voting you worked. Apparently they wanted you back in, so I dont see voting you out yesterday as a bad decision.

Let’s go back to this. Assuming BFG is scum, why would she sub back into a match she just lost?

Playing on the tinfoil? BFG lost the matchup because one of you had to go, not because people thought she was wolfy. Depending on her team, its possible she was in the best position and decided to force a confrontation now rather than wait till D3, which she could have done by grouping with Aquilla. A matchup she wouldnt have lost.

People did think she was scummy. Namely all the people who died minus Verb. So??? It doesn’t make any sense for her, as scum, to elect to get put back into a matchup she just lost soundly. Period. Especially not if you consider me a town read. Who are her partners then?

If the tinfoil is correct, if your a wolf with her, then she got put into a matchup against her teammate, assuring the wolf team makes it to D3. Its a conservative play from that end and, assuming you are able to turn this around, protects you D3 from tinfoil since there arnt any flips after D1.

Why am I scum then? Also, the game doesn’t end today. D3 comes the tinfoil grows stronger. Obvious angle is angle. If we were we scum together we could’ve flipped the matches. You v her. Me v Aquilla. You’d probably win, depending on the crowd (which has somebody locked on BFG, conveniently) but I would take Aquilla. Scum still make it to the Final.

[Aquilla]

Lenio being alone makes slightly more sense than BFG alone, but the sub back in doesn't make sense with that. If there is a single mafia left, it's more likely you tbh AJ just based on logic. I'll look more into if that's possible in a little bit, but the hedger in me says that there is 2 left in comparison to 1.

[Aquilla]

Lenio being alone makes slightly more sense than BFG alone, but the sub back in doesn't make sense with that. If there is a single mafia left, it's more likely you tbh AJ just based on logic. I'll look more into if that's possible in a little bit, but the hedger in me says that there is 2 left in comparison to 1.

 

before you ask, no I don't think all 3 of you are mafia

[Andrej]

Lenio being alone makes slightly more sense than BFG alone, but the sub back in doesn't make sense with that. If there is a single mafia left, it's more likely you tbh AJ just based on logic. I'll look more into if that's possible in a little bit, but the hedger in me says that there is 2 left in comparison to 1.

Ok. Let’s say I’m scum. Why not sub in SK or LZM for my D2 matchup?

[Lenlo]

 

Lenio being alone makes slightly more sense than BFG alone, but the sub back in doesn't make sense with that. If there is a single mafia left, it's more likely you tbh AJ just based on logic. I'll look more into if that's possible in a little bit, but the hedger in me says that there is 2 left in comparison to 1.

Ok. Let’s say I’m scum. Why not sub in SK or LZM for my D2 matchup?

 

To obvious? Its easy bait, you never lose that matchup.

[Aquilla]

 

Lenio being alone makes slightly more sense than BFG alone, but the sub back in doesn't make sense with that. If there is a single mafia left, it's more likely you tbh AJ just based on logic. I'll look more into if that's possible in a little bit, but the hedger in me says that there is 2 left in comparison to 1.

Ok. Let’s say I’m scum. Why not sub in SK or LZM for my D2 matchup?

 

 

you're more likely to do it than Lenio alone or BFG alone, but I don't think it's a thing. If you're mafia I think you're more likely with BFG than Lenio. I'm merely stating worlds atm AJ, not what's definite.

[Andrej]

We can postulate theories. I wanna know the thinking behind it though. My world view is pretty clear.

 

I know I’m town. I feel strongly about BFG being town unless she has just leveled me utterly and her scum game advanced significantly in the time I’ve been away.

 

That leaves you two. Doesn’t make both of you scum, but one of you had to be. That much is 100%. I feel it’s more likely both are considering the nature of this game, but maybe not.

 

It does not make sense for BFG as scum to sub back into a matchup she just lost. It does not make sense for me as scum to sub the person I just beat, who people are tinfoiling as my partner, back into a matchup with me to both feed the fire of paranoia.

 

What does make sense is that all the people who were biting the tinfoil to die, and for us to once again be matched up to “ensure we make the finals” as the theory would go. One or both of you is responsible. I’m not mad, I respect the angle actually. But I’m gonna out you guys as best I can and hope the rest will not lose sight of things :)

[Andrej]

We can postulate theories. I wanna know the thinking behind it though. My world view is pretty clear.

 

I know I’m town. I feel strongly about BFG being town unless she has just leveled me utterly and her scum game advanced significantly in the time I’ve been away.

 

That leaves you two. Doesn’t make both of you scum, but one of you had to be. That much is 100%. I feel it’s more likely both are considering the nature of this game, but maybe not.

 

It does not make sense for BFG as scum to sub back into a matchup she just lost. It does not make sense for me as scum to sub the person I just beat, who people are tinfoiling as my partner, back into a matchup with me to both feed the fire of paranoia.

 

What does make sense is that all the people who were biting the tinfoil to die, and for us to once again be matched up to “ensure we make the finals” as the theory would go. One or both of you is responsible. I’m not mad, I respect the angle actually. But I’m gonna out you guys as best I can and hope the rest will not lose sight of things :)

[Aquilla]

We can postulate theories. I wanna know the thinking behind it though. My world view is pretty clear.

 

I know I’m town. I feel strongly about BFG being town unless she has just leveled me utterly and her scum game advanced significantly in the time I’ve been away.

 

That leaves you two. Doesn’t make both of you scum, but one of you had to be. That much is 100%. I feel it’s more likely both are considering the nature of this game, but maybe not.

 

It does not make sense for BFG as scum to sub back into a matchup she just lost. It does not make sense for me as scum to sub the person I just beat, who people are tinfoiling as my partner, back into a matchup with me to both feed the fire of paranoia.

 

What does make sense is that all the people who were biting the tinfoil to die, and for us to once again be matched up to “ensure we make the finals” as the theory would go. One or both of you is responsible. I’m not mad, I respect the angle actually. But I’m gonna out you guys as best I can and hope the rest will not lose sight of things :)

 

the only problem with that AJ is that I'm town, and I don't think Lenio would be mafia alone. So therefore from my perspective at least one of you two is mafia. BFG if mafia with Lenio subbing back actually makes the most sense to me tbh.

[Aquilla]

The world where BFG subs back into the same matchup is a world where she's with one of you two, more likely Lenio.

Overall worlds that I think are likely atm from most likely to least likely

Lenio/BFG

BFG/AJ

AJ/Lenio

All 3

AJ alone

Lenio alone

BFG alone

[Aquilla]

The world where BFG subs back into the same matchup is a world where she's with one of you two, more likely Lenio.

Overall worlds that I think are likely atm from most likely to least likely

Lenio/BFG

BFG/AJ

AJ/Lenio

All 3

AJ alone

Lenio alone

BFG alone

 

the BFG/AJ and AJ/Lenio worlds are interchangeable

[Andrej]

What are your independent reads on those slots?

[Andrej]

Also in both of those interchangeable worlds I’m the scum

[Aquilla]

What are your independent reads on those slots?

 

Towniest to Scummiest (without rereading)

AJ

Lenio

BFG

[Lenlo]

Well, I can guarantee you the first and 3rd and 4th arnt true.

[Andrej]

Well, I can guarantee you the first and 3rd and 4th arnt true.

So just the 5th

 

Plead it, bro.

[Andrej]

Either way, I’m not mad. I’m just competitive

 

Whatever the outcome I give a nod.

[Aquilla]

 

Well, I can guarantee you the first and 3rd and 4th arnt true.

So just the 5th

 

Plead it, bro.

 

 

the 5th was you alone lol, the 6th was Lenio alone

[Andrej]

Don’t ruin my joke.

[Andrej]

[Lenlo]

 

Well, I can guarantee you the first and 3rd and 4th arnt true.

So just the 5th

 

Plead it, bro.

 

Eeeeeeeeeyyyyyy. Nice

 

Don’t ruin my joke.

I didnt seem him post, did you? 

[Aquilla]

Don’t ruin my joke.

 

too late lol

[LedZepMan]

I've had AJ as solid town. I did not have BFG as town.

 

But subbing BFG back in makes no sense.

 

Now I can see why they killed Nyn, but not Ben. Why kill Ben?

[LedZepMan]

[v]Lenlo[/v]

[LedZepMan]

Great. Now I'm the only one here lol