MAFIA KART WII [BASIC] - Mafia Sweep

[Celeste]

I am always a v/v counterwagon except on my home site. It ends badly if everybody just focuses on me.

[Clovdyx]

I am always a v/v counterwagon except on my home site. It ends badly if everybody just focuses on me.

 

Why are you so insistent there is a 3P this game?

[Thane Vakarian]

so, here's what I think, if i got things right (it's sunday, please):

 

never voting Celeste: Calder, Clov

switching votes to countertrain: Sili

always on Celeste: Me, Hallia, Zander.

 

I left out the known townies and only mentioned the players still present.

 

please correct me if i am wrong.

[Sili Quirrels]

I am always a v/v counterwagon except on my home site. It ends badly if everybody just focuses on me.

 

i don't get it. how can you blame me for wanting to lynch you???

 

i don't get it lol. hell thane is technically worse than me if you're town. you should be adjusting your reads.

[Sili Quirrels]

 

I am always a v/v counterwagon except on my home site. It ends badly if everybody just focuses on me.

 

Why are you so insistent there is a 3P this game?

 

because there are two doctors and one of the doctors get's a 'you prevented harm from this person' and that's what celeste is, therefore there were 3 kills lasat night but 2 of them were blocked. so celeste knows there is probably a third party.

 

seem far fetched?

 

Think Again! anything is possible in a 12 player game.

[Sili Quirrels]

ebwop: 'you prevented harm to this person'.

[Clovdyx]

so, here's what I think, if i got things right (it's sunday, please):

 

never voting Celeste: Calder, Clov

switching votes to countertrain: Sili

always on Celeste: Me, Hallia, Zander.

 

I left out the known townies and only mentioned the players still present.

 

please correct me if i am wrong.

 

If you mean at deadline, this looks right.  But I'm pretty sure I voted her on D1 before moving to Seph.  I might be misremembering, though, so don't tear my head off if that's inaccurate.

[Clovdyx]

 

 

I am always a v/v counterwagon except on my home site. It ends badly if everybody just focuses on me.

 

Why are you so insistent there is a 3P this game?

 

because there are two doctors and one of the doctors get's a 'you prevented harm from this person' and that's what celeste is, therefore there were 3 kills lasat night but 2 of them were blocked. so celeste knows there is probably a third party.

 

seem far fetched?

 

Think Again! anything is possible in a 12 player game.

 

 

I'm embarrassed to admit how much time I spent on this before realizing you were being sarcastic.

[Sili Quirrels]

if celeste is town, by the way, then two wolves are on her wagon.

[Sili Quirrels]

otherwise wolves would just win of course. therefore the likely chance there are less than two wolves on celeste's wagon is the probability celeste is a wolf.

[Clovdyx]

if celeste is town, by the way, then two wolves are on her wagon.

 

I think I know what you're getting at with this, and the thought occurred to me, too.  Except I don't think Sooh has checked in since the modkills so technically that could be one.

[Sili Quirrels]

hallia sooh zander?

 

well let's assume zander is town.

 

are hallia and sooh wolves together? if not, then celeste is a wolf. if so then celeste might be town (probably is), and regardless we should lynch hallia or sooh.

[Sili Quirrels]

 

if celeste is town, by the way, then two wolves are on her wagon.

 

I think I know what you're getting at with this, and the thought occurred to me, too.  Except I don't think Sooh has checked in since the modkills so technically that could be one.

 

who is voting celeste again? ffs.

[Sili Quirrels]

nvm, replace thane with sooh. lolme.

[Clovdyx]

 

hallia sooh zander?

 

well let's assume zander is town.

 

are hallia and sooh wolves together? if not, then celeste is a wolf. if so then celeste might be town (probably is), and regardless we should lynch hallia or sooh.

 

 

 

if celeste is town, by the way, then two wolves are on her wagon.

 

I think I know what you're getting at with this, and the thought occurred to me, too.  Except I don't think Sooh has checked in since the modkills so technically that could be one.

 

who is voting celeste again? ffs.

 

nvm, replace thane with sooh. lolme.

 

I'm lost now lol Can you try again with the names you mean?

[Sili Quirrels]

i am simplifying the probabilities, but basically celeste is town if and only if there are two wolves on her wagon (once sooh get's here). granted there is a very small chance that celeste could still be a wolf even with two wolves on her wagon.

[Sili Quirrels]

 

 

hallia sooh zander?

 

well let's assume zander is town.

 

are hallia and sooh wolves together? if not, then celeste is a wolf. if so then celeste might be town (probably is), and regardless we should lynch hallia or sooh.

 

 

 

if celeste is town, by the way, then two wolves are on her wagon.

 

I think I know what you're getting at with this, and the thought occurred to me, too.  Except I don't think Sooh has checked in since the modkills so technically that could be one.

 

who is voting celeste again? ffs.

 

nvm, replace thane with sooh. lolme.

 

I'm lost now lol Can you try again with the names you mean?

 

once sooh get's here... because that was a good point...

 

celeste is town if and only if both hallia and thane are wolves.

[Sili Quirrels]

which of course means thane and hallia should stop voting celeste, and celeste should vote hallia or thane, but that won't happen cause no one listens to me.

[Sili Quirrels]

Wait should thane and hallia stop voting Celeste?

 

If they know they are town they know Celeste is a wolf, given that Zander is town.

[Clovdyx]

 

 

 

hallia sooh zander?

 

well let's assume zander is town.

 

are hallia and sooh wolves together? if not, then celeste is a wolf. if so then celeste might be town (probably is), and regardless we should lynch hallia or sooh.

 

 

 

if celeste is town, by the way, then two wolves are on her wagon.

 

I think I know what you're getting at with this, and the thought occurred to me, too.  Except I don't think Sooh has checked in since the modkills so technically that could be one.

 

who is voting celeste again? ffs.

 

nvm, replace thane with sooh. lolme.

 

I'm lost now lol Can you try again with the names you mean?

 

once sooh get's here... because that was a good point...

 

celeste is town if and only if both hallia and thane are wolves.

 

 

I would agree with this theory.  I feel reasonably okay with Thane and basically have Hallia at null, which I guess probably makes her a de facto mafia read.

 

I really hate that we're in the middle of MyLo and I have one - much less, more than one - person hovering around as null.

[Calder]

Everyone should honestly unvote right now to prevent wolve shenanigans.

[Sili Quirrels]

Nevermind that first part.

 

Second part is true though.

[Sili Quirrels]

Everyone should honestly unvote right now to prevent wolve shenanigans.

no hard defending celeste?

 

lol okay.

[Clovdyx]

Wait should thane and hallia stop voting Celeste?

 

If they know they are town they know Celeste is a wolf, given that Zander is town.

 

Except in that scenario, Town!Thane and Town!Hallia wouldn't know the OTHER is town.  

[Sili Quirrels]

you probably should have kept hard defending her.