[s]Goal: 100,000 New Goal: 200,000[/s] New Goal: 250.000

[Smiley73]

LAVA?

[mmeeshal]

Continued:

 

To decide which is the most likely explanation for this correlation, you need more information. In particular, is there other evidence that (some?) vitamins can be sometimes harmful? If so, how widespread might these harms be? If there is little direct and specific evidence of harm to be found, especially when vitamins are taken in appropriate dosages, then it's more likely that poorer health leads to more vitamin use than that more vitamin use leads to poorer health.

[Aiel Heart]

I LAVA LEELOU <3

[Leelou]

Lava everywhere! :D

[Aiel Heart]

Dripping from the ceiling.....

[mmeeshal]

Continued:

 

Or again: Marriage and happiness correlate (again, on average), but is it because marriage makes you happier or because happier people tend to be more successful at getting and staying married? Fill in the connections for both explanations and then step back to think. Marriage clearly offers companionship and support, which could explain how marriage might make you happier. Conversely, it may be that happy people are better at getting and staying married. To me, though, this second explanation seems less likely. Happiness may make you a more appealing partner, but then again it may not--it could instead make you more self-absorbed--and it is not clear that happiness by itself makes you any more committed or responsive a partner. I'd prefer the first explanation.

[Smiley73]

[Leelou]

Drip, drip, drip....someone needs to fix that damn ceiling.

[Aiel Heart]

you don't like lava dripping on your head?

[Aiel Heart]

XD

 

lava dripping on head.... hehehehehehe

[mmeeshal]

Continued:

 

Note that the most likely explanation is very seldom some sort of conspiracy or supernatural intervention. It is possible, of course, that the Bermuda Triangle really is spooked and that is why ships and planes disappear there. But that explanation is far less likely than another simple and natural explanation: that the Bermuda Triangle is one of the world's heaviest traveled shipping and sailing areas, with tropical weather that is unpredictable and sometimes severe. Besides, people do tend to embellish spooky stories, so some of the more lurid accounts, having passed through countless retellings, aren't (let's just say) the most reliable. Good fodder for the movies, maybe, but hardly reliable premises for an argument.

[Smiley73]

It will rain - Bruno Mars

[Smiley73]

[Leelou]

No, I do not like Lava dripping on my head...does not sound pleasant :p

[mmeeshal]

Continued, and last part:

 

Likewise, although people fasten onto inconsistencies and oddities in dramatic events (the JFK assassination, 9/11, etc.) to justify conspiracy theories, such explanations usually leave a great deal more unexplained than the usual explanations, however incomplete. (For instance, why would any plausible conspiracy take this particular form?) Don't assume that every little oddity must have some nefarious explanation. It's hard enough to get the basics right. Neither you nor anyone else needs to have an answer for everything.

[Aiel Heart]

But if lava was dripping on your head..... that would be odd..... :P

[Leelou]

And just weird.

[Smiley73]

just can't get enough - Black eyed peas

[Smiley73]

[Leelou]

My head...owie! Also I'm all stuffed up. :(

[Aiel Heart]

I suppose it would be a bit weird.... :P well I guess that ceiling does need to get fixed then

[Smiley73]

[Leelou]

Ceiling is fixed now. :p

[Aiel Heart]

Oh that's good. No more lava dripping on your head

[Smiley73]

on3 pages and 1500 words, I think I'll call it a night there